TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0db9…d97c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
270
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT16342.9%70 W · 93 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 163 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$105
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.1
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.52
Showing 25 of 163 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT4047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$50.35
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Kweon Seong-dong in jail by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Han Duck-soo in jail by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$120
25% South Korea tariff in effect by August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Lee Sang-min in jail by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$168
Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+81%+$165.6
Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$60
Will Lee Jae-myung win between 51% and 53% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$216.93
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 11% and 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$733Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$732.89
Will Lee Jun-seok win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.7
Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$577.69
Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,241Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,240.65
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2025, EDT3336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $62m and $67m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $57m and $62m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.62
Will "The Roses" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $6m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+37%+$27
Will "Honey Don't" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $3.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will "Nobody 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $11m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Will "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $34m and $39m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$74
Will "Freakier Friday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $34m and $39m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.14
Will "Freakier Friday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $29m and $34m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.79
Will "The Bad Guys 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $19m and $22m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$69
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $17m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$56
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $125-135m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$142.35
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $115-125m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+234.2%+$70.08
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $135-145m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.88
Will "Eddington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $5-6.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will "Eddington" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will "I Know What You Did Last Summer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $12-14m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$69
Will "I Know What You Did Last Summer" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $12m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.74
Will "Smurfs" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $9-11m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Will "Smurfs" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $13m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$112
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $108-116m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$124
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $117-128m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $128-139m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $55M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+57.2%+$36.4
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-44.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 3-6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 6-9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 9-12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 6-9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+132.6%+$57
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 11% and 12% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.75
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+166.2%+$436.72
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$185
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+28.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-39.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT vs HLEbacked KT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
LoL: T1 vs DKbacked DK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: DK vs BFXbacked BFX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$92
LoL: HLE vs T1backed HLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+140.3%+$60
All 4 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
First Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipeibacked Chinese Taipei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$29.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Justin Bieber's album 'SWAG' have over 150k sales in its first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.