Movies · resolved market
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $115-125m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f2b6c182ace564c3ea03081847657b0d0a60421736c156d79e6f5ab7e3fa623
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $207,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 59c | 18,139$10,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,464.77 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 78c | 14,587$11,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,276.05 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 68c | 12,840$8,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,088.66 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 9c | 10,000$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,137.95 | 166 | 24.1%40 W · 126 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 54c | 6,746$3,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072.79 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9f11…ddc4backed Yes | 50c | 4,661$2,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.24 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 17c | 3,589$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.48 | 187 | 19.3%36 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed No | 10c | 2,892$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.57 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 1c | 2,598$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 142 | 12%17 W · 125 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 5c | 2,574$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.31 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 51c | 2,558$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.54 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked No | 78c | 2,128$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.06 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…7f5cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,025$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.64 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked No | 57c | 1,938$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.19 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Yes | 6c | 1,845$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.78 | 166 | 14.5%24 W · 142 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 6c | 1,644$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.76 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed Yes | 61c | 1,614$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.99 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe391…e00fbacked No | 75c | 1,312$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 56c | 1,289$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.6 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…c44bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,193$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…5228backed Yes | 5c | 1,067$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.7 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c67…8b76backed Yes | 7c | 1,019$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.64 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…77f1backed Yes | 13c | 898.6$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.48 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Yes | 73c | 868.14$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.12 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 63c | 861.98$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.98 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 47c | 758.72$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.98 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 26c | 546.77$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.06 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked No | 37c | 539.69$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.58 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe280…ed39backed Yes | 6c | 507.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.21 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9019…42e0backed Yes | 68c | 503.27$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 23c | 447.19$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.58 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 5c | 446.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.23 | 73 | 6.8%5 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 40c | 439.93$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…e333backed Yes | 5c | 432.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.39 | 42 | 4.8%2 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e25…7a93backed Yes | 73c | 413.61$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 7c | 399.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373 | 170 | 17.1%29 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98f…6a3fbacked Yes | 75c | 390.51$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 15c | 375.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 4c | 373$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.91 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x388f…4083backed No | 5c | 370.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -77%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 11c | 321.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.15 | 162 | 37.7%61 W · 101 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…a350backed No | 17c | 317$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -54%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c98…d38fbacked Yes | 8c | 312.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.3 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…d809backed No | 13c | 307.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…ea7ebacked No | 13c | 296.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 288.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.68 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057d…6eddbacked Yes | 5c | 274.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.76 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes | 64c | 271$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…ee61backed Yes | 5c | 261.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.39 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcefc…a993backed Yes | 55c | 237.15$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.02 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8f…3c8abacked No | 65c | 231.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e98fbacked Yes | 15c | 195$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.75 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0b…5c3abacked Yes | 8c | 191.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.84 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…5bd6backed Yes | 66c | 183.31$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 27c | 168.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.88 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…f0afbacked Yes | 9c | 150$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +151.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf359…b879backed No | 35c | 141.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…2a97backed Yes | 35c | 140$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.86 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…b234backed Yes | 8c | 125.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +202.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 43c | 118$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.61 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 56c | 114.57$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.37 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69a1…85f0backed Yes | 57c | 110.09$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b6…d759backed No | 20c | 103.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…5c43backed No | 65c | 103.47$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.84 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…3b8fbacked Yes | 57c | 101.9$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 192 | 40.6%78 W · 114 L | -20.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…d97cbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e15…6ce6backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked Yes | 67c | 97.25$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bc…2eabbacked No | 46c | 96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed No | 20c | 80.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -58%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4298…f07dbacked Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…550abacked Yes | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…52fbbacked Yes | 68c | 79.29$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf960…ba50backed No | 76c | 63.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…618abacked No | 47c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…25e5backed No | 77c | 50.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…3b43backed Yes | 41c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…01abbacked Yes | 46c | 42.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…63a9backed No | 65c | 36.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed No | 41c | 36.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -73%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc039…5ecfbacked Yes | 61c | 33.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…b5e7backed Yes | 60c | 16.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $115-125m?this page
- Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $125-135m?No won
- Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $135-145m?No won
- Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $115m?No won
- Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $145m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.