TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b24…01ab

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
289
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Weather, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 55 out of 100; worst Music at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT9851%50 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 98 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$34.4
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$50.27
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.68
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$6.65
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+36%+$96.24
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$42.06
Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.39
Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 21m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.7
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$4.07
Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.67
Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$9.09
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 12.5m and 13.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$6.7
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.02
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$4.67
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$115.27
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$164.26
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$27.97
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.23
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $12m and $13m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$18.59
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.17
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Showing 25 of 98 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT3033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.43
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+213.1%+$213.13
Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$201
Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$57.47
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$234.78
Will PAS win by greater than >16% of the vote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.2
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election be between 78 and 81%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$51.43
Will valid votes be fewer than 5.8 million in Bolivia election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
Will valid votes be more than 6.2 million in Bolivia election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.78
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.15
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
Yoon arrested before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.87
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.03
Will valid votes be between 34 million and 36 million in South Korean election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+26.8%+$54.22
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 5% and 8% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$103
Will Kim Moon-soo win more than 40% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+41.5%+$207.5
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$121
Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.24
Will Lee Jae-myung win 55-60% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$426.32
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+396.1%+$400.08
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+91.9%+$123.24
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.6%+$4.69
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+43.5%+$96.47
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.56
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.56
Will Eric Adams drop out by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.9
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$315.9
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$823Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$823.31
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+41.9%+$8.37
Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$3.99
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.5
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$192.18
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.37
Israel military action against Iran in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+368.6%+$296.55
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.14
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$62
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+25.1%+$42.25
Will turnout be between 1000000 and 1100000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,498Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+57.2%+$857.01
Will the percentage of inactive ballots in the NYC Democratic Mayoral Primary be more than 4% and up to 8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT+29%+$46.06
Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 18th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+29.1%+$4.65
Will Donald Trump issue fewer than 10 executive orders in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+36.5%+$124.22
Will Donald Trump issue 10-14 executive orders in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+36.5%+$90.15
Will Trump sign the Reconciliation bill by July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Vietnam before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+40.6%+$8.13
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Israel before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+42.7%+$42.68
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with South Korea before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+41.1%+$16.86
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $500b on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.25
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$13.1
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+53.3%+$40.62
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $500b on October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+87.1%+$61.16
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$176.52
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+29.7%+$7.41
OpenAI browser by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+46.3%+$12.03
OpenAI social app in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$318.65
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.33
OpenAI browser by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+33.2%+$5.32
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+168.7%+$92.8
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.09
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $360b and $370b on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.8
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $350b on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+27.8%+$21.14
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+44.2%+$18.14
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.76
Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $400b on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+27.5%+$26.17
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$86
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$141.19
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,133Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+25.3%+$287.04
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$356.41
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$615Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+43.8%+$269.02
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST2065%13 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2025 September third hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in September 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+233.3%+$42
2025 September second hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$43.91
2025 August third hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Will the highest temperature in London be between 79-80°F on August 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+46.5%+$5.77
Will the highest temperature in London be between 81-82°F on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+79.8%+$87.3
Will global temperature increase by between 0.95–0.99ºC in July 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.07
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$280
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05–1.10ºC in July 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$676Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+41.8%+$282.38
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 71-72°F on August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+34.9%+$69.81
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 99°F or higher on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+55.2%+$8.83
Will the highest temperature in London be between 67-68°F on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+45.2%+$18.07
Will the highest temperature in London be between 76-77°F on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be between 78-79°F on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be between 69-70°F on July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
Will the highest temperature in London be between 75-76°F on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will the highest temperature in London be between 73-74°F on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+182.1%+$36.41
Will the highest temperature in London be 95°F or higher on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+37%+$74.3
Will the highest temperature in London be between 87-88°F on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$10
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-44.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33%+$8.58
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$191.83
Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+35.3%+$5.66
Houthi strike on Israel before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+29.2%+$6.14
Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+47%+$111.37
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.96
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+37%+$14.79
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+104.5%+$41.81
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Iran declare war on Israel by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$388.95
Israel strikes Iranian oil in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$353
Iran strike on Israel in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.88
All 16 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Sep 11, 2025, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+103.3%+$15.49
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.75-4.00 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+31.1%+$44.13
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.75-4.00 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+39.6%+$83.7
Will a dozen eggs be between $4.00-4.25 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
Will a dozen eggs be between $4-4.25 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$6.63
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.52
Will a dozen eggs be below $4.50 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$121
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% or less in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$106
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-66.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$87
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+25%+$2.75
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 4–11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+25%+$5
Will Elon tweet 245–259 times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.34
Will Elon tweet 230–244 times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Elon tweet 230 or more times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+125%+$75.02
Will Elon tweet 200–214 times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Elon tweet 185–199 times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$51.8
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.1
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+44.4%+$5.24
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+108.8%+$16.32
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+25%+$50
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+31.1%+$14.63
Trump x Zelenskyy talk before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-42.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-34.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-53.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+50.7%+$10.15
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+76.5%+$30.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Yankees win the AL East Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Cubs vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+102%+$40.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-37.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+140.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+140.8%+$21.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-08-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+59.8%+$22.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.