World Politics · resolved market
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffcdfe69121723210a5dfa24041fce6f4b99469fc434afc99bb3ff7a270d7fb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,023,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,475,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,023,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,385 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed No | 46c | 132,767$60,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,769.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2b…527abacked Yes | 47c | 97,060$46,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,974.77 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 10c | 91,475$8,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,997.08 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Yes | 54c | 67,337$36,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,100.39 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3749…7ad0backed Yes | 69c | 63,827$43,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,833.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef9…65c9backed Yes | 34c | 50,986$17,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,650.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a39…e798backed No | 66c | 50,986$33,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,650.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b30…cc72backed Yes | 66c | 49,731$32,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,864.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked No | 6c | 45,307$2,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,944.61 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…ddefbacked No | 10c | 45,000$4,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,455 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…867ebacked Yes | 52c | 42,995$22,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,753.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a1…1149backed Yes | 65c | 40,778$26,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,419.29 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +1,419.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…b9d6backed Yes | 52c | 34,348$17,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,508.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 23c | 32,006$7,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,436.52 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…053fbacked Yes | 57c | 31,618$18,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,512.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389c…99d1backed Yes | 53c | 28,602$15,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,520.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Yes | 74c | 28,586$21,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,532.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b83…9318backed Yes | 48c | 28,156$13,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,671.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4bb8backed Yes | 60c | 27,602$16,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,913.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 47c | 27,391$12,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,846.49 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4098…b799backed Yes | 18c | 23,958$4,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,573.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +198.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 38c | 23,868$9,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,113.46 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d7…5961backed Yes | 18c | 23,865$4,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,497.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +446.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…6df1backed Yes | 29c | 23,795$6,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,010.07 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8819…ca2bbacked Yes | 27c | 21,106$5,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,433.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Yes | 49c | 20,288$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,287.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +114%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…dccfbacked Yes | 49c | 20,225$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,224.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6c…69b7backed Yes | 47c | 20,177$9,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,726.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b16…a4fcbacked Yes | 59c | 20,099$11,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,177.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb704…dc1ebacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed Yes | 53c | 19,999$10,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,370.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd9…7c41backed Yes | 44c | 19,986$8,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,135.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe682…6f7dbacked Yes | 44c | 19,454$8,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,863.21 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…a8fcbacked Yes | 40c | 15,775$6,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,502.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a3…5715backed Yes | 64c | 15,656$10,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,639.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 57c | 14,488$8,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,285.1 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 43c | 14,416$6,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,226.99 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a19…5d40backed Yes | 40c | 13,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 50c | 12,971$6,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,427.91 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…5839backed Yes | 56c | 12,816$7,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,595.1 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…4f22backed No | 63c | 12,778$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc00b…4336backed Yes | 19c | 12,355$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,007.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +257.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…1b93backed Yes | 51c | 12,000$6,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,849.13 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5293…1b18backed No | 60c | 11,400$6,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,885.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf79…605fbacked Yes | 40c | 11,400$4,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,885.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +111%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 12c | 11,025$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.63 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…8015backed Yes | 64c | 10,698$6,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,814.04 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 72c | 10,506$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,906.02 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked No | 16c | 10,400$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.69 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b5…caffbacked Yes | 60c | 10,200$6,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,093.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbd…8d71backed Yes | 54c | 10,045$5,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,572.11 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Yes | 46c | 10,000$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,450 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 50c | 9,748$4,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,832.33 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Yes | 36c | 9,620$3,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,174.93 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7040…81fabacked Yes | 43c | 9,414$4,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,385.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b7…eb22backed Yes | 54c | 9,351$5,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,305.07 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db3…d5d6backed Yes | 32c | 9,322$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,322.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +210.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c7…8b1cbacked Yes | 36c | 9,300$3,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,947.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 43c | 9,092$3,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,913.74 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 47c | 9,049$4,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,217.45 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399a…c49cbacked No | 46c | 8,900$4,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,111.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77a…2f08backed Yes | 54c | 8,900$4,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,111.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed Yes | 60c | 8,820$5,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,532.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ac…b3afbacked No | 48c | 8,800$4,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,206.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5600backed Yes | 52c | 8,800$4,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,206.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa9…0ef6backed No | 51c | 8,700$4,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,419.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2f…179abacked Yes | 49c | 8,700$4,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,419.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Yes | 58c | 8,563$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,563.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +195.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf20…f904backed No | 48c | 8,440$4,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,031.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 52c | 8,420$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350.2 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac8e…36d9backed Yes | 29c | 8,418$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,956.42 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…14a1backed Yes | 55c | 8,316$4,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760.24 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6857…9321backed Yes | 14c | 8,293$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,158.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +412.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…9d3bbacked No | 53c | 8,254$4,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,370.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked No | 5c | 8,105$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.14 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…5e22backed Yes | 66c | 8,037$5,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,727.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 62c | 8,033$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,032.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…ae02backed Yes | 58c | 8,010$4,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,373.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e757backed Yes | 55c | 7,901$4,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,585.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Yes | 53c | 7,754$4,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,638.76 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…78d4backed Yes | 30c | 7,630$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,351.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 47c | 7,367$3,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,875.38 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…db66backed Yes | 29c | 7,236$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,170.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 28c | 7,216$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,228.62 | 134 | 13.4%18 W · 116 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc32…996bbacked Yes | 43c | 7,004$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,003.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbe…d688backed No | 60c | 7,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab69…77f1backed Yes | 45c | 6,977$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,826.75 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 62c | 6,853$4,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,607.76 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 16c | 6,844$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.06 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d48…577abacked Yes | 52c | 6,668$3,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,218.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 30cpaid | +159.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 39c | 6,666$2,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,082.92 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…a91fbacked Yes | 47c | 6,561$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,508.33 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd678…cf66backed Yes | 49c | 6,178$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,177.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed No | 45c | 6,128$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,769.93 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb60a…4526backed Yes | 46c | 6,019$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,262.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…2de6backed No | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 46c | 5,962$2,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,746.58 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d3…7340backed Yes | 42c | 5,873$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,394.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 36c | 5,794$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,716.2 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ae…c73cbacked Yes | 52c | 5,750$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,753.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?this page
- Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Claudiu Târziu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Crin Antonescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Călin Georgescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Cătălin Cîrstoiu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will George Tuță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Octavian Berceanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Robert Negoiță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Stelian Bujduveanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Victor Ponta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Vlad Voiculescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.