World Politics · resolved market
Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41aa36e7a0c5175fc3805d97677eb8c878ee8ba633af5edb52ff292c926e82d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,934,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $449,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,934,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a4…09bfbacked Yes | 0c | 61,593$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab55…35aabacked Yes | 0c | 58,937$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…3135backed Yes | 0c | 58,657$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae92…be9dbacked Yes | 0c | 58,182$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…814ebacked Yes | 0c | 56,947$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e90…991dbacked Yes | 0c | 56,627$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8b…c993backed Yes | 0c | 56,409$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…bf98backed Yes | 0c | 55,507$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…58b0backed Yes | 0c | 55,397$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ab…630bbacked Yes | 0c | 54,755$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7e…d21dbacked Yes | 0c | 51,741$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df2…f746backed Yes | 0c | 50,593$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068f…71c7backed Yes | 0c | 50,593$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…efc1backed Yes | 0c | 50,593$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c2…ab36backed Yes | 0c | 50,593$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18cf…60c8backed Yes | 0c | 49,851$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd3…60cebacked Yes | 0c | 49,687$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9784…4221backed Yes | 0c | 49,139$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ca…ded1backed Yes | 0c | 49,015$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd6…b13bbacked Yes | 0c | 48,931$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…19b3backed Yes | 0c | 48,905$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…09e4backed Yes | 0c | 48,852$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…b697backed Yes | 0c | 48,827$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x920c…5ecdbacked Yes | 0c | 48,798$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…a0a7backed Yes | 0c | 48,602$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a6…343abacked Yes | 0c | 48,453$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x538c…d2fcbacked Yes | 0c | 48,410$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9297…b2f9backed Yes | 0c | 48,383$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b68…2e50backed Yes | 0c | 48,363$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f30…96cabacked Yes | 0c | 48,318$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…4ed4backed Yes | 0c | 48,303$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6062…8317backed Yes | 0c | 48,198$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…5fe6backed Yes | 0c | 48,197$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…557dbacked Yes | 0c | 48,159$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf3…bedabacked Yes | 0c | 48,159$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…8271backed Yes | 0c | 48,150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ef…1527backed Yes | 0c | 48,150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x731f…1eb0backed Yes | 0c | 48,123$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf3…2c8fbacked Yes | 0c | 48,120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc467…025abacked Yes | 0c | 48,105$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…d8cabacked Yes | 0c | 48,100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aeb…ae65backed Yes | 0c | 48,024$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae3…bcf4backed Yes | 0c | 48,003$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e9…4745backed Yes | 0c | 48,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…49ddbacked Yes | 0c | 47,961$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…08c0backed Yes | 0c | 47,797$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce4…9bd9backed Yes | 0c | 47,481$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…a016backed Yes | 0c | 47,466$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbd…02bbbacked Yes | 0c | 47,439$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3044…4b32backed Yes | 0c | 47,364$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x426c…cd93backed Yes | 0c | 47,347$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 0c | 47,230$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.33 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…99adbacked Yes | 0c | 47,148$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb220…d443backed Yes | 0c | 47,140$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…078abacked Yes | 0c | 47,042$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7e…c84ebacked Yes | 0c | 46,966$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdeb…a8d2backed Yes | 0c | 46,934$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd474…a5a6backed Yes | 0c | 46,928$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…ca00backed Yes | 0c | 46,822$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…2740backed Yes | 0c | 46,696$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e54…6476backed Yes | 0c | 46,678$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7718…7963backed Yes | 0c | 46,444$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x372a…7201backed Yes | 16c | 42,311$6,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,651.65 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…62cdbacked Yes | 14c | 25,068$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 22,100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea4d…c654backed Yes | 0c | 20,512$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8b…14ccbacked Yes | 9c | 10,886$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.76 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d1…8c4dbacked Yes | 13c | 9,951$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 17c | 9,705$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.83 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Yes | 9c | 8,593$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.12 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc78f…79c6backed Yes | 0c | 7,220$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 1c | 7,091$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cce…34e0backed Yes | 11c | 6,601$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…4a4abacked Yes | 11c | 6,298$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478c…a645backed Yes | 0c | 5,958$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x279e…1744backed Yes | 9c | 5,625$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc4…65e6backed Yes | 10c | 5,498$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 12cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 1c | 5,333$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f8…ffe4backed Yes | 10c | 5,251$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 10c | 4,086$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.57 | 134 | 13.4%18 W · 116 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…2875backed Yes | 10c | 3,161$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ce…4c39backed Yes | 4c | 3,148$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.22 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469a…9dfebacked Yes | 5c | 3,131$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 8c | 3,100$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x693b…98d9backed Yes | 10c | 3,060$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…e08bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,884$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 9c | 2,867$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.1 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090e…07c7backed Yes | 4c | 2,724$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e32…2ec3backed Yes | 7c | 2,692$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…62bbbacked Yes | 7c | 2,638$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.3 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd21a…51cbbacked Yes | 8c | 2,583$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6803…2a05backed Yes | 2c | 2,433$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bc…a7ecbacked Yes | 9c | 2,125$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349c…7413backed Yes | 10c | 2,051$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +43%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8819…ca2bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,975$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…01cfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,950$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…28fdbacked Yes | 9c | 1,921$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 8c | 1,826$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.58 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f22…7d23backed Yes | 13c | 1,782$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?this page
- Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes won
- Will Claudiu Târziu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Crin Antonescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Călin Georgescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Cătălin Cîrstoiu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will George Tuță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Octavian Berceanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Robert Negoiță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Stelian Bujduveanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Victor Ponta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Vlad Voiculescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.