World Politics · resolved market
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc09535a2f39877de8b488263bcb271868e36a55d21bc25ba4106ec0f14b9754b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,254,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,557,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,254,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 421 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4a2…d2a1backed Yes | 6c | 478,258$27,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,996.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Yes | 7c | 211,891$15,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,466.13 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed Yes | 13c | 200,008$26,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,148.65 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48b0…083ebacked Yes | 10c | 147,859$15,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,457.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Yes | 7c | 126,150$8,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,356.48 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 6c | 102,964$6,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,123.59 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb17f…8a09backed Yes | 8c | 84,504$6,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,751.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e90…f911backed Yes | 3c | 75,193$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +161.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 5c | 64,599$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.96 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…0e8bbacked Yes | 5c | 59,031$3,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,145.95 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…6a01backed Yes | 6c | 58,076$3,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,727.87 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…1b93backed Yes | 9c | 45,500$4,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,259.91 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 7c | 42,460$3,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,088.75 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 2c | 38,225$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff2b…527abacked Yes | 9c | 35,532$3,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,195.49 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…053fbacked Yes | 9c | 35,501$3,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,173.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Yes | 4c | 32,084$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.9 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 16c | 31,363$5,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,049.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…4f22backed Yes | 12c | 30,146$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed Yes | 7c | 26,510$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 6c | 26,196$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.19 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf20…f904backed Yes | 9c | 25,783$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,293.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72e1…7d89backed Yes | 3c | 25,500$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.02 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b83…9318backed Yes | 8c | 23,972$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…4d06backed Yes | 4c | 21,278$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…9bf4backed Yes | 10c | 20,419$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb704…dc1ebacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…1d88backed Yes | 15c | 19,875$3,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,062.3 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 11c | 19,022$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.63 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed Yes | 5c | 18,163$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.23 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f3…feadbacked Yes | 8c | 18,027$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 10c | 17,278$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.39 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf321…5242backed Yes | 5c | 17,102$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde54…444dbacked Yes | 1c | 16,659$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.56 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +183%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c8…fb0fbacked Yes | 1c | 16,412$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +601.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 15,249$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.86 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…10c8backed Yes | 2c | 14,991$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f82…e6f9backed Yes | 5c | 14,418$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c7…dfdebacked Yes | 8c | 14,138$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…67c3backed Yes | 6c | 13,973$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…324dbacked Yes | 5c | 13,395$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 10c | 13,000$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96cd…8c9fbacked Yes | 1c | 11,563$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62eb…7761backed Yes | 10c | 11,377$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 6c | 10,900$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.79 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…fab2backed Yes | 8c | 10,549$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked Yes | 6c | 10,126$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x368b…2458backed Yes | 13c | 10,021$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.52 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c4…4fcbbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd9…bd75backed Yes | 8c | 9,449$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.8 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 2c | 9,264$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.29 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 3c | 9,095$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.17 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 9c | 9,044$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.87 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 8,686$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.8 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d0…f643backed Yes | 11c | 8,648$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb094…fbb2backed Yes | 1c | 8,518$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcb…db5fbacked Yes | 7c | 8,013$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x015e…f0edbacked Yes | 14c | 8,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb614…a713backed Yes | 7c | 7,659$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02cf…63e2backed Yes | 1c | 7,602$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…45b1backed Yes | 9c | 7,543$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.56 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes | 9c | 7,500$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.49 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…1267backed Yes | 9c | 7,366$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed Yes | 9c | 7,225$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.37 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…f104backed Yes | 14c | 7,198$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc3…ba9ebacked Yes | 10c | 7,137$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a20…16a1backed Yes | 2c | 7,104$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88e4…8f34backed Yes | 9c | 6,943$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.39 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a2…2fbebacked Yes | 5c | 6,918$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f2…f658backed Yes | 15c | 6,751$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 1c | 6,666$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 8c | 6,314$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…95ccbacked Yes | 9c | 6,221$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…5e22backed Yes | 11c | 6,152$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db8…d942backed Yes | 7c | 5,912$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 6c | 5,887$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.74 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…c4ddbacked Yes | 9c | 5,884$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4a…5473backed Yes | 9c | 5,829$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed Yes | 9c | 5,734$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.34 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3869…24f6backed Yes | 4c | 5,522$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…01a8backed Yes | 4c | 5,504$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…4201backed Yes | 5c | 5,190$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.19 | 61 | 18%11 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…71b5backed Yes | 6c | 5,160$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…a91fbacked Yes | 9c | 5,141$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb60a…4526backed Yes | 12c | 5,033$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…c348backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 12cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…68a9backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa117…674cbacked Yes | 8c | 5,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a44…97babacked Yes | 8c | 4,990$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c2…fb1cbacked Yes | 10c | 4,963$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8b…b15ebacked Yes | 3c | 4,850$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.15 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…a65abacked Yes | 2c | 4,805$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3950…bce7backed Yes | 7c | 4,781$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -59%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d8…3224backed Yes | 7c | 4,729$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…8701backed Yes | 11c | 4,682$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9045…3007backed Yes | 1c | 4,677$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca68…222abacked Yes | 11c | 4,642$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…f9d9backed Yes | 6c | 4,632$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.55 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 7c | 4,587$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.13 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e4a1backed Yes | 4c | 4,537$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?this page
- Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes won
- Will Claudiu Târziu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Crin Antonescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Călin Georgescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Cătălin Cîrstoiu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will George Tuță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Octavian Berceanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Robert Negoiță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Stelian Bujduveanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Victor Ponta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
- Will Vlad Voiculescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.