TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x60cc…f23f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
196
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: World Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 56 out of 100; worst Venezuela at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT18214.8%27 W · 155 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+218.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 182 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+575.7%+$852
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+107.5%+$264.78
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.62
Will Colin Sutton win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.39
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.5
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$1,304.99
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$200
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$619Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$618.83
Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.75
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$290
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.47
Will Alfonso López Chau finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.84
Will Jorge Nieto finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.59
Will the Liberal Democrats win control of the most London borough councils?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.51
Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$446.67
Will the Green Party win control of the most London borough councils?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$417.24
Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$730.33
Will the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.59
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.35
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,137Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+698.8%+$14,931.1
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+1,283%+$4,297.36
Will Jean-Paul Lecoq be the next mayor of Le Havre?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.52
Showing 25 of 182 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-75%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid+300%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$630
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.