Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3d517559b545c25b445e274cb53d5f24f1759d804f9adeec89f26c02dcf44e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $230,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 5c | 21,235$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.63 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f87…e304backed Yes | 10c | 10,632$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 8c | 9,845$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.53 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 18c | 8,401$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.5 | 88 | 20.5%18 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3e…e98fbacked Yes | 8c | 5,124$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…3904backed Yes | 7c | 4,471$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 9c | 4,351$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.25 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 11c | 4,328$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.99 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes | 8c | 3,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +300%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefd…3f9dbacked Yes | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked Yes | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 9c | 2,879$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…b797backed No | 66c | 2,847$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.45 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 9c | 2,667$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 8c | 2,642$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.33 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed Yes | 10c | 2,631$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.73 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 6c | 2,561$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.63 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 5c | 2,222$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.93 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…bbe6backed Yes | 8c | 1,679$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.31 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…31a6backed Yes | 9c | 1,470$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 8c | 1,431$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.29 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes | 38c | 1,376$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.76 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…fb35backed Yes | 8c | 1,259$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -89.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed Yes | 58c | 1,258$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.79 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b33…45d3backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x487c…7795backed Yes | 7c | 1,219$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 7c | 1,200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 193 | 28.5%55 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…a137backed Yes | 7c | 1,185$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d7…5762backed Yes | 4c | 1,065$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 9c | 1,035$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.19 | 148 | 19.6%29 W · 119 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c35…1a76backed Yes | 9c | 1,034$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c91…1971backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 38cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Yes | 7c | 999.83$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.78 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef10…4c13backed Yes | 9c | 933.33$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3670…18e8backed Yes | 14c | 930$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68da…ee52backed Yes | 5c | 900$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6725…fa50backed Yes | 9c | 781.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 40c | 703.5$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 20c | 686.31$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.83 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 7c | 680$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 116 | 12.9%15 W · 101 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…3ceebacked Yes | 25c | 615$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.51 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +131.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…35b3backed No | 51c | 588$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.12 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +10.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 50c | 578$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70e…1eeabacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +160.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 30c | 540$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 49c | 500$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.63 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77d8…8274backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed No | 79c | 470.01$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.55 | 144 | 60.4%87 W · 57 L | +16.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51a4…0e62backed Yes | 7c | 422.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 7c | 414.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 4c | 399.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce1…a462backed Yes | 8c | 394$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82df…0e93backed Yes | 14c | 391.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked Yes | 3c | 387.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 64 | 23.4%15 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…eeaebacked Yes | 43c | 350$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c4…dc51backed Yes | 6c | 323.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b74…778cbacked Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 10c | 300$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 303 | 19.1%58 W · 245 L | -20.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 297$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x373f…2561backed Yes | 8c | 290$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…d81abacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96cf…8408backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f3…d859backed No | 80c | 277.66$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e3…0fcdbacked Yes | 11c | 266.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f57…7a66backed Yes | 11c | 266.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 20cpaid | +164.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd5…5683backed Yes | 39c | 256.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…5682backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb6…6d4fbacked Yes | 8c | 241.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…0e3fbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba3b…eea1backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd72…0c13backed Yes | 9c | 204.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 9c | 202$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcf…76e3backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9798…01e0backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69f3…06c3backed Yes | 8c | 199.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 25c | 195$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.25 | 111 | 21.6%24 W · 87 L | +11.4wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +179.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 70c | 194$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.64 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c1…05d0backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa493…612ebacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 12c | 161.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…558abacked Yes | 9c | 161.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf746…614abacked Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 23c | 148$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 7c | 146.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1940…00a4backed Yes | 9c | 133.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 63c | 126$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…4ccabacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…c8a5backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb882…e13ebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67db…21adbacked Yes | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c03…8b7bbacked No | 75c | 62.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b8…c770backed Yes | 21c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.