TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7db3…77cc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
375
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Commodities, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 56 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST13024.6%32 W · 98 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 130 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$164.08
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$288.84
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+408.7%+$401.43
Big Game: Coin toss winner wins the Big Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Big Game: Odd/Even Total Pointsbacked Even · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+104.9%+$417.11
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$234.37
Big Game: Coin Toss Team Winnerbacked SEA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Heads · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+96.8%+$242.12
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$352.01
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$141.78
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+140.8%+$409.11
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$425.5
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+302.2%+$419.81
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.9
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$32.62
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$46.43
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$71.17
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$21.38
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$38.98
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$91.41
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$166.21
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$62.95
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$153.52
Showing 25 of 130 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT5916.9%10 W · 49 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump out as President by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.59
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$376.42
Trump divorce in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$215.18
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,781Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,780.92
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$175.62
Trump out as President in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$334.89
Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$159.11
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$101.7
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$78.44
Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.5
Andrew Cuomo charged before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.88
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trump suspend habeas corpus before July? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$925Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$925.4
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.75
Elon out of Trump administration before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$345.02
US-China trade deal before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+147%+$671.42
Will Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$192.21
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.78
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.84
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$626Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$626.32
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+79.7%+$48.92
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.66
Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.3
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT3713.5%5 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-61.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,019.43
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,482Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,481.99
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.49
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,057Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,057.3
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$699.64
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$220.89
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs Pacers: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$213.51
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$622.59
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$273.7
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$520.12
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$956Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$955.72
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$200.73
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+170.8%+$274.11
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.75
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$322.45
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$634Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$633.79
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$515.1
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.02
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST3132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cal Raleigh win the 2025 AL MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$39.06
Will Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$457.44
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+214.4%+$938.41
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$111.17
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.34
Minnesota Twins sale announced before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.82
Cubs vs. Astrosbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.32
Athletics vs. Yankeesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Padres vs. Redsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Nationals vs. Angelsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.13
Cubs vs. Astrosbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+125.1%+$194.5
Phillies vs. Bravesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.9
Mets vs. Piratesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$125
Mariners vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$61.18
Dodgers vs. Royalsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.57
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$359.02
World Series Champion: Dodgers vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$139.33
Will there be at least 1 run scored in the first inning?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2024, EDT+100%+$50
Will the Dodgers win the World Series 4-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$45
World Series: Yankees vs. Dodgers Game 4backed Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2024, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
World Series: Yankees vs. Dodgers Game 3backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT+134.9%+$134.92
World Series: Dodgers vs. Yankees Game 2backed Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Yankees win the World Series 4-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
Will the New York Mets win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$14.63
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2524%6 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.92
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+144.9%+$407.26
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+300%+$150
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+224.4%+$207.47
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+316.7%+$142.5
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$61.34
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$99.57
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$85.27
Nothing Ever Happens: Iran Strike Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70.04
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$143.99
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.09
Will the Iranian regime fall before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$908Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$907.91
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+40.6%+$234.78
Israel military response against Iran in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,002Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT+110.2%+$3,309.04
Will Israel strike Iran on Sunday Oct 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$75
Will Israel strike Iran on Saturday Oct 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
All 25 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2015%3 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$74.38
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47.45
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$282.8
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 February 9-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$121
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 12-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+709.6%+$594.94
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$143.64
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+150%+$2,159.99
Ethereum all time high by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.97
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$93
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.47
Will Solana dip to $140 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$236.79
Will Ethereum reach $2800 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$280.2
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$193.16
Bitcoin all time high in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$457.21
Will XRP reach $2.50 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.71
Will Bitcoin reach $100k in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.14
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$265.7
All 20 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-43.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+351.6%+$1,685.3
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$44.15
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by >29%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$106.21
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$45.93
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.14
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$485.83
Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$179.1
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,518Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$2,518.14
Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+240.8%+$149.65
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,206Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$4,206.49
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$114.16
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
Will India join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60.95
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.69
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$728Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$728.47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$281.86
Will Putin remain President of Russia through June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.71
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,293Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,292.96
All 11 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.66
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.47
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+142.1%+$96.03
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+161.2%+$61.23
Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.65
Will Justin Rose win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Masters?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,082Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,081.74
Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-60.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+42.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+276.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$149.21
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+127.3%+$47.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$166.26
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+110.4%+$68.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon Diddy by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Jay-Z & Beyoncé divorce in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$86.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2025 January hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$81.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell shares of DJT before the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.