MLB · resolved market
Will the New York Mets win the World Series?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d032ef0da920fc5b85bbdd757ea175150d28a0d7ee915b3a4f681ca59d55d70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $273,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 6c | 20,496$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.75 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb236…1d5dbacked Yes | 1c | 18,955$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.41 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4828…ddd9backed Yes | 8c | 14,591$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cd…238dbacked Yes | 9c | 11,928$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.28 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…df45backed Yes | 2c | 10,334$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bec…f7b7backed Yes | 3c | 9,009$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.64 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed Yes | 1c | 6,762$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.54 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f4…1e3dbacked Yes | 3c | 5,908$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8e…014bbacked Yes | 9c | 5,553$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 6c | 5,474$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.13 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…4236backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.18 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d56…d62ebacked Yes | 3c | 4,268$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8503…c3c6backed Yes | 3c | 4,000$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,989$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…314bbacked Yes | 12c | 3,988$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes | 9c | 3,547$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x716f…7ed3backed Yes | 10c | 2,515$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 5c | 2,147$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…a659backed Yes | 2c | 2,020$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a2…be38backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 1c | 1,915$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Yes | 2c | 1,666$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c98…2e7ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,563$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…ba38backed Yes | 19c | 1,503$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2371…1f06backed Yes | 2c | 1,471$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…7045backed Yes | 4c | 1,380$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 11c | 1,318$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.46 | 103 | 28.2%29 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…dcd7backed Yes | 4c | 1,256$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Yes | 5c | 1,100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…5b91backed Yes | 3c | 1,082$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 9c | 1,007$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.57 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe629…3d52backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x704e…0352backed Yes | 4c | 813.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de4…b516backed Yes | 17c | 799.3$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Yes | 2c | 629.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…f3d5backed Yes | 3c | 611.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 545.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 2c | 517.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 9c | 511$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 4c | 360.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3440…85e5backed Yes | 20c | 331.63$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b24…2440backed Yes | 10c | 311.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…8bb4backed Yes | 18c | 295.28$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9af4…9fc5backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fac…2f71backed Yes | 10c | 250$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…2ce5backed Yes | 9c | 232.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 19c | 230$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5e…846ebacked Yes | 7c | 210$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +283.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…2beabacked Yes | 24c | 208.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f35…7594backed Yes | 20c | 200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Yes | 10c | 146.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…fac4backed Yes | 20c | 120.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…484cbacked Yes | 13c | 107.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -46%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc40e…2e1abacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8149…29bebacked Yes | 21c | 73.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 16c | 71.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the New York Mets win the World Series?this page
- Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the World Series?No won
- Will the Atlanta Braves win the World Series?No won
- Will the Baltimore Orioles win the World Series?No won
- Will the Boston Red Sox win the World Series?No won
- Will the Chicago Cubs win the World Series?No won
- Will the Cincinnati Reds win the World Series?No won
- Will the Cleveland Guardians win the World Series?No won
- Will the Colorado Rockies win the World Series?No won
- Will the Detroit Tigers win the World Series?No won
- Will the Houston Astros win the World Series?No won
- Will the Kansas City Royals win the World Series?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Angels win the World Series?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the World Series?Yes won
- Will the Miami Marlins win the World Series?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the World Series?No won
- Will the Minnesota Twins win the World Series?No won
- Will the New York Yankees win the World Series?No won
- Will the Oakland Athletics win the World Series?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the World Series?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the World Series?No won
- Will the San Diego Padres win the World Series?No won
- Will the San Francisco Giants win the World Series?No won
- Will the Seattle Mariners win the World Series?No won
- Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the World Series?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the World Series?No won
- Will the Texas Rangers win the World Series?No won
- Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the World Series?No won
- Will the Washington Nationals win the World Series?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.