TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Will the New York Yankees win the World Series?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$282,432
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$230,799

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,432 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbde3…4a49backed Yes48c28,578$13,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,629.9114648.6%71 W · 75 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a2…372abacked Yes2c20,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003040%12 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes23c17,758$4,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,055.0416725.1%42 W · 125 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Yes48c15,596$7,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,483.1331248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd909…fd75backed No65c9,451$6,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,288.431060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bc1…6fe7backed Yes47c8,519$4,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,003.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe25e…0aa5backed Yes39c6,013$2,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,315.7614549.7%72 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x697f…8705backed Yes47c6,000$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,820633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-38.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked No53c5,117$2,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,404.946258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff4e…edc9backed Yes47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No52c4,928$2,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,365.4973352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked No52c4,709$2,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,240.3212655.6%70 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7e…4562backed Yes32c4,444$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.081643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa39c…24c0backed Yes32c4,392$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb104…5df0backed Yes23c4,337$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes30c4,179$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.132010%2 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd73…386dbacked Yes7c3,977$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.7330%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes14c3,639$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.91020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Yes37c3,547$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.3232850.3%165 W · 163 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked Yes37c3,190$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.19560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8352…d51abacked Yes17c3,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-52.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb62c…06aebacked Yes35c2,860$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8236…7c8cbacked Yes34c2,764$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.072123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-60.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x14af…376dbacked Yes19c2,481$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb59b…a8e0backed No52c2,119$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.132268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80f5…46f2backed Yes35c2,020$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.59825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-54.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes21c1,924$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.4710328.2%29 W · 74 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-40.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae7c…6d3bbacked Yes34c1,850$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6201050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc626…2beabacked Yes23c1,739$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004434.1%15 W · 29 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-33.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x00fa…30bebacked Yes18c1,706$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30050%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked No53c1,665$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.4513353.4%71 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96c4…bfdebacked Yes4c1,572$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes14c1,403$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.5463942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc1c…4eb9backed Yes43c1,344$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.92425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3462…d3d2backed Yes36c1,324$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4804254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes29c1,235$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.727041.4%29 W · 41 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d03…aee3backed Yes36c1,190$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c21…d6bfbacked Yes48c1,119$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.12633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+99%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes39c1,114$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.048125.9%21 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffa6…c843backed Yes33c1,050$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fc8…32dfbacked Yes14c1,046$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-43.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6356…1885backed Yes13c1,008$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1272317.4%4 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick9cpaid-52.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x660f…ec30backed Yes19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1904748.9%23 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182b…f022backed Yes13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-69.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1953…5607backed Yes37c850.08$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.531050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Yes12c835$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.22931%9 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c5c…c842backed Yes4c805.05$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes35c709$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.11741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Yes22c697.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No69c598.08$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.578330.1%25 W · 58 L-9.7wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-47.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x081c…f010backed No54c563$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.987659.2%45 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa218…94cdbacked Yes9c555$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.951428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Yes47c531$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.2613359.4%79 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b61…4e15backed Yes23c525.04$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204e…4236backed Yes23c492.51$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.311520%3 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0882…8b8fbacked Yes41c465.72$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5752…c999backed Yes22c463.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+83.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Yes19c456$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2415745.2%71 W · 86 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes24c454.75$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1071533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e1…69a4backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d0…629fbacked Yes23c439.13$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20f…1e48backed Yes5c410.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe854…aa44backed Yes36c388.53$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47e0…75e4backed Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67f9…a40dbacked Yes37c346.59$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f0…0446backed Yes18c334.54$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x310d…7205backed Yes48c333.33$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc465…fcfbbacked Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502065%13 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x206e…425bbacked Yes35c332.47$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.69540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-30.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc663…13e0backed Yes23c326.09$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…6fbabacked Yes47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e8…77d2backed Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e71…3838backed Yes47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141128.3%1 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.34per pick42cpaid-84.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x34b0…cd70backed Yes17c293.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab26…9656backed Yes13c292$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.121020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-64.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes32c260$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.97643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc12a…4cdabacked Yes22c257.27$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8229…dfbfbacked No66c244$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.96825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-46.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc07…1c96backed Yes50c243.52$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d1…9fabbacked Yes11c230$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc799…f57ebacked Yes36c227.45$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe45e…ebb0backed Yes44c226.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b92…8bb4backed Yes31c224.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.433231.3%10 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc365…fe94backed Yes29c224.14$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef00…15d8backed Yes46c220$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…1e2dbacked No54c220$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…e0c9backed Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3587…23adbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007244.4%32 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe66d…21a7backed Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1910…afbabacked Yes13c207.69$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1f7e…1776backed Yes50c201.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c0c…9d02backed Yes18c200$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-65.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a2…6af8backed Yes13c200$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb236…1d5dbacked Yes13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf716…82ccbacked Yes48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9621538.6%83 W · 132 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53e7…9a6fbacked Yes28c200$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e3…ad70backed Yes37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+75.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.