MLB · resolved market
Will the New York Yankees win the World Series?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x835f8d053046b9ef189c3216b75d46a2d2fb8a27a7e65d4ff09ef7c14699e73e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $282,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Yes | 48c | 28,578$13,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,629.91 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Yes | 2c | 20,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 23c | 17,758$4,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,055.04 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Yes | 48c | 15,596$7,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,483.13 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed No | 65c | 9,451$6,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,288.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc1…6fe7backed Yes | 47c | 8,519$4,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,003.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Yes | 39c | 6,013$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.76 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…8705backed Yes | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked No | 53c | 5,117$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,404.94 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…edc9backed Yes | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 52c | 4,928$2,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.49 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked No | 52c | 4,709$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.32 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Yes | 32c | 4,444$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.08 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39c…24c0backed Yes | 32c | 4,392$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb104…5df0backed Yes | 23c | 4,337$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 30c | 4,179$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.13 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd73…386dbacked Yes | 7c | 3,977$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 14c | 3,639$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Yes | 37c | 3,547$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.32 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Yes | 37c | 3,190$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8352…d51abacked Yes | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb62c…06aebacked Yes | 35c | 2,860$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8236…7c8cbacked Yes | 34c | 2,764$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.07 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14af…376dbacked Yes | 19c | 2,481$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb59b…a8e0backed No | 52c | 2,119$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.13 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…46f2backed Yes | 35c | 2,020$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 21c | 1,924$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.47 | 103 | 28.2%29 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked Yes | 34c | 1,850$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…2beabacked Yes | 23c | 1,739$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…30bebacked Yes | 18c | 1,706$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 53c | 1,665$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.45 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked Yes | 4c | 1,572$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 1,403$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.54 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…4eb9backed Yes | 43c | 1,344$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Yes | 36c | 1,324$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,235$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.72 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…aee3backed Yes | 36c | 1,190$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c21…d6bfbacked Yes | 48c | 1,119$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +99%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 39c | 1,114$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.04 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffa6…c843backed Yes | 33c | 1,050$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc8…32dfbacked Yes | 14c | 1,046$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Yes | 13c | 1,008$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…5607backed Yes | 37c | 850.08$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 12c | 835$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5c…c842backed Yes | 4c | 805.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 35c | 709$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Yes | 22c | 697.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 69c | 598.08$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.57 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed No | 54c | 563$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.98 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa218…94cdbacked Yes | 9c | 555$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Yes | 47c | 531$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.26 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b61…4e15backed Yes | 23c | 525.04$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…4236backed Yes | 23c | 492.51$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.31 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…8b8fbacked Yes | 41c | 465.72$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5752…c999backed Yes | 22c | 463.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yes | 19c | 456$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.24 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes | 24c | 454.75$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…69a4backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d0…629fbacked Yes | 23c | 439.13$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20f…1e48backed Yes | 5c | 410.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe854…aa44backed Yes | 36c | 388.53$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…75e4backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…a40dbacked Yes | 37c | 346.59$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…0446backed Yes | 18c | 334.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…7205backed Yes | 48c | 333.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x206e…425bbacked Yes | 35c | 332.47$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc663…13e0backed Yes | 23c | 326.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…6fbabacked Yes | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…77d2backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Yes | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.34per pick | 42cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x34b0…cd70backed Yes | 17c | 293.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…9656backed Yes | 13c | 292$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 32c | 260$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.9 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…4cdabacked Yes | 22c | 257.27$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8229…dfbfbacked No | 66c | 244$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…1c96backed Yes | 50c | 243.52$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d1…9fabbacked Yes | 11c | 230$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc799…f57ebacked Yes | 36c | 227.45$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…ebb0backed Yes | 44c | 226.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…8bb4backed Yes | 31c | 224.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.43 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…fe94backed Yes | 29c | 224.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef00…15d8backed Yes | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…1e2dbacked No | 54c | 220$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe66d…21a7backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1910…afbabacked Yes | 13c | 207.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7e…1776backed Yes | 50c | 201.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed Yes | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Yes | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb236…1d5dbacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf716…82ccbacked Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e7…9a6fbacked Yes | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…ad70backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the New York Yankees win the World Series?this page
- Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the World Series?No won
- Will the Atlanta Braves win the World Series?No won
- Will the Baltimore Orioles win the World Series?No won
- Will the Boston Red Sox win the World Series?No won
- Will the Chicago Cubs win the World Series?No won
- Will the Cincinnati Reds win the World Series?No won
- Will the Cleveland Guardians win the World Series?No won
- Will the Colorado Rockies win the World Series?No won
- Will the Detroit Tigers win the World Series?No won
- Will the Houston Astros win the World Series?No won
- Will the Kansas City Royals win the World Series?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Angels win the World Series?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the World Series?Yes won
- Will the Miami Marlins win the World Series?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the World Series?No won
- Will the Minnesota Twins win the World Series?No won
- Will the New York Mets win the World Series?No won
- Will the Oakland Athletics win the World Series?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the World Series?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the World Series?No won
- Will the San Diego Padres win the World Series?No won
- Will the San Francisco Giants win the World Series?No won
- Will the Seattle Mariners win the World Series?No won
- Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the World Series?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the World Series?No won
- Will the Texas Rangers win the World Series?No won
- Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the World Series?No won
- Will the Washington Nationals win the World Series?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.