TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Will the Detroit Tigers win the World Series?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$310,737
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,734

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $310,737 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa34e…895ebacked Yes6c43,609$2,665 inLost-$2,664.720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f2…7862backed Yes0c32,796$98 inLost-$98.39180%0 W · 18 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cd…238dbacked Yes3c24,896$675 inLost-$674.832334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes4c15,055$661 inLost-$661.22010%2 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x390d…350bbacked Yes1c12,024$80 inLost-$80333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes0c11,000$22 inLost-$22150%0 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8934…8745backed Yes0c10,000$25 inLost-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c9,507$24 inLost-$24.27480%0 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc35e…5e64backed Yes0c8,390$18 inLost-$18.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14fa…eaafbacked Yes0c7,760$11 inLost-$11.0620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb236…1d5dbacked Yes1c7,659$59 inLost-$59.061526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1888…4eafbacked Yes0c6,573$26 inLost-$26.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204e…4236backed Yes1c5,555$82 inLost-$81.561520%3 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e2…e599backed Yes1c3,093$33 inLost-$32.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes4c1,536$66 inLost-$65.5416725.1%42 W · 125 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69f2…ba89backed Yes3c1,500$45 inLost-$4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2361…314bbacked Yes10c1,250$120 inLost-$120616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-70.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5196…a0cabacked Yes8c1,000$79 inLost-$79.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd319…5d62backed Yes1c1,000$14 inLost-$14250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c32…1ccebacked Yes3c885.24$27 inLost-$27.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a5e…846ebacked Yes10c210$20 inLost-$19.95922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+283.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f35…7594backed Yes8c180$14 inLost-$14.4333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Yes8c179.68$14 inLost-$14.191735.3%6 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcd…df2abacked Yes10c177.84$18 inLost-$17.86333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c3…484cbacked Yes10c160$16 inLost-$16633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-46%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67f4…b978backed Yes14c142.79$20 inLost-$19.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.