TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the World Series?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,564
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,297

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,564 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2b8e…014bbacked Yes9c22,927$2,000 inLost-$2,000333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-38.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes4c3,079$132 inLost-$132.212010%2 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5752…c999backed Yes5c1,980$100 inLost-$100450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+83.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa596…7f4fbacked Yes5c1,900$94 inLost-$94333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-56.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22cf…9619backed Yes7c1,500$99 inLost-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes4c1,215$53 inLost-$52.6310328.2%29 W · 74 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-40.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204e…4236backed Yes3c1,155$34 inLost-$33.511520%3 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes4c1,025$36 inLost-$36.3263942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes4c992.82$40 inLost-$39.71150%0 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0d2…ed69backed Yes2c700$15 inLost-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes5c660.44$30 inLost-$29.86812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-83.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes3c538.47$16 inLost-$16.112718.5%5 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick12cpaid-26.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d70…629cbacked Yes5c500$25 inLost-$24.630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x703c…e334backed Yes5c445.59$24 inLost-$23.89425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd13…a813backed Yes5c437.11$20 inLost-$201926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-43.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Yes5c431$22 inLost-$22.412231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…aa6ebacked Yes5c408.16$20 inLost-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70fa…196dbacked Yes4c350$15 inLost-$14.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes4c346.46$12 inLost-$12.391020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x566e…32e9backed Yes5c300$15 inLost-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+127.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bec…f7b7backed Yes4c268.46$12 inLost-$11.8190%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ec…8692backed Yes5c200$10 inLost-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.