TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x32ec…8692

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 55 out of 100; worst Movies at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+311.5%+$140.16
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$188.7
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Packers vs. Bears: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+90.7%+$40.81
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+26.4%+$3.43
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Will the Packers win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Packers vs. Eaglesbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Amon-Ra St. Brown be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Dak Prescott be the top Fantasy Quarterback?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Commanders vs. Cowboysbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Bills vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$10
Will the Jets win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$10
Cowboys vs. Falconsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$10
Packers vs. Jaguarsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
College Football — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+34.1%+$17.03
Will Ole Miss win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Miami (-30.5)backed Stanford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+530.6%+$106.13
Will Oregon win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Miami beat California by 11 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ole Miss beat South Carolina?backed S. Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
Will Texas A&M beat Missouri by 3 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Will Utah beat Arizona by 11 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
Will Georgia beat Alabama by 2 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick62cpaid-47.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$314.21
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Sinners win Best Original Score – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+31.6%+$12.63
Will Rose Byrne (If I Had Legs I'd Kick You) win Best Actress – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+35.1%+$28.11
Will One Battle After Another win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+80.5%+$32.2
Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Will Amy Madigan (Weapons) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $95m and $105m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$10
Will 'It Ends with Us' gross less than $40m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid-80.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+48%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-52%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+133.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Houston make the 2025 Final Four?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+166.8%+$25.02
Will Florida make the 2025 Final Four?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+36.4%+$21.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopesbacked Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Michael Chandler vs. Paddy Pimblettbacked Chandler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$21.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.