College Football · resolved market
Will Texas A&M beat Missouri by 3 or more points?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2783bf3767780947692a21ec96ad00ddff50a9184d6bd2cfef7baa452b285689
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed No | 50c | 12,074$6,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,088.19 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14c4…ae78backed Yes | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…35c6backed Yes | 52c | 3,365$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Yes | 50c | 3,288$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.01 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7a…3ef4backed No | 51c | 2,969$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e785backed Yes | 52c | 2,692$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f0…1af3backed Yes | 52c | 2,112$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2f…746cbacked No | 51c | 1,767$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked No | 3c | 1,086$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb789…706fbacked Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb620…dd7abacked No | 50c | 350.34$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…a813backed No | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb44a…3368backed Yes | 50c | 246.22$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Yes | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Yes | 50c | 99.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.86 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c79…15dbbacked Yes | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ec…8692backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…eee1backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b1…5d44backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Texas A&M beat Missouri by 3 or more points?this page
- Will Texas A&M and Missouri combine for 49 or more points?Over won
- Will Texas A&M beat Missouri?Texas A&M won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.