College Football · resolved market
Will Texas A&M beat Missouri?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d30e1435aa7a96012e92f63364af9b5c0e50d17d92729f45b945de8be28678a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas A&Mof Texas A&M, Missouri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Missouri | 8c | 2,800$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.02 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Texas A&M | 65c | 2,613$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.88 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Texas A&M | 60c | 2,239$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.11 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Missouri | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.2 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c36…52b9backed Texas A&M | 79c | 1,790$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Texas A&M | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Missouri | 33c | 1,639$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.6 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Texas A&M | 70c | 1,000$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.01 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked Missouri | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Missouri | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed Missouri | 36c | 999.73$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.47 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Missouri | 49c | 789.99$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.09 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Missouri | 34c | 745.19$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.95 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb789…706fbacked Missouri | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…f8dabacked Missouri | 39c | 476.41$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.8 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Texas A&M | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Missouri | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Texas A&M | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Texas A&M | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e948backed Missouri | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…35c6backed Texas A&M | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…c29abacked Missouri | 46c | 160$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…a813backed Missouri | 34c | 132.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Texas A&M | 56c | 118.59$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…f920backed Missouri | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14c4…ae78backed Texas A&M | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa45…0eb0backed Missouri | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Missouri | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Texas A&M | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44a…3368backed Texas A&M | 56c | 83.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d1…ebd2backed Missouri | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b55…4ac4backed Texas A&M | 56c | 51.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d3…5679backed Missouri | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…537abacked Missouri | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…e186backed Missouri | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…3ce8backed Missouri | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221b…a4fabacked Texas A&M | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c79…15dbbacked Texas A&M | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde05…8152backed Texas A&M | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Texas A&M | 56c | 24.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Texas A&M beat Missouri?this page
- Will Texas A&M and Missouri combine for 49 or more points?Over won
- Will Texas A&M beat Missouri by 3 or more points?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.