TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x891b…eee1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
178
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 58 out of 100; worst Middle East at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT9151.6%47 W · 44 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colts vs. Chargersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$85.78
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+79.2%+$10.86
The "Saquon Special" Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+104.1%+$34.35
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$54.64
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$375.61
Texans vs. Cowboysbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+28.2%+$79.95
Bengals vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST+90.5%+$181.01
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$391.82
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+400%+$40
Falcons vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+56.3%+$42.19
Vikings vs. Titansbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+37%+$36.99
Raiders vs. Dolphinsbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$75
Rams vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$75
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Colts vs. Jetsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+177.8%+$133.33
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+53.8%+$50.7
Lions vs. Texansbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2024, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Steelers vs. Commandersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+139.7%+$69.86
Vikings vs. Jaguarsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+32.8%+$32.84
Patriots vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$32
49ers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+56.3%+$36
Giants vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+233.3%+$58.33
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2024, EST3450%17 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BYU beat Kansas by 4 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$56
Will Georgia beat Tennessee?backed Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$80
Will South Carolina beat Missouri by 15 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Will LSU beat Florida by 4 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$300
Will Clemson beat Pitt by 12 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Will Texas beat Arkansas by 13 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Will San Diego State beat New Mexico by 3 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$53
Will Iowa beat UCLA by 7 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$54
Will Iowa and UCLA combine for 45 or more points?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$27
Will Texas A&M beat LSU?backed LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$77.88
Will Texas beat Vanderbilt by 18 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$46.49
Will Oregon beat Illinois by 22 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Notre Dame beat Navy by 14 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Texas beat Georgia by 5 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Will LSU beat Arkansas by 3 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+83.3%+$41.64
Will Alabama beat Tennessee?backed Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+134.5%+$40.35
Will Michigan beat Illinois by 4 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Will Indiana beat Nebraska by 7 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+80.1%+$24.02
Will Ole Miss beat LSU?backed LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Will Ohio St. beat Oregon by 4 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will BYU beat Arizona by 4 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Will Alabama beat South Carolina by 22 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Will Utah beat Arizona State by 6 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Will Georgia beat Auburn by 23 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+87%+$17.41
Will Louisville beat SMU by 7 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$243.29
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.87
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$22.61
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will the Dodgers win the World Series 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$55
Will the Dodgers win the World Series 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$47.69
World Series: Yankees vs. Dodgers Game 4backed Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2024, EDT+78.6%+$184.55
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the National League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+42.1%+$113.63
Dodgers vs. Padres Series Winnerbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+69.2%+$48.42
Yankees vs Royals Series Winnerbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
All 15 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2024, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Olympics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the USA win gold in the Men’s 4x400m Relay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$150
Will Rai Benjamin (USA) win Gold in 400m Hurdles?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT+66%+$125.52
Will Jakob Ingebrigtsen (NOR) win Gold in 1500m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$152
Will Josh Kerr (GBR) win Gold in 1500m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$49
Will Noah Lyles (USA) win Gold in 100m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2024, EDT+143.9%+$287.8
Will Caeleb Dressel (USA) win Gold in Men's 100m Butterfly?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$75
Will Hubert Kos (HUN) win Gold in Men's 200m Backstroke?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Will Regan Smith (USA) win Gold in 100m Women's Backstroke?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Will Ariarne Titmus (AUS) win Gold in Women's 200m Freestyle?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+107%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2024, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2024, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+192.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$452.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Blackhawks vs. Panthersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pavel Durov's girlfriend charged in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the October 2024 temperature increase be between 1.35-1.40°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.