Olympics · resolved market
Will Noah Lyles (USA) win Gold in 100m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16638709abbdd7209e7a244ece68fa62f246ced9cae5536f759278ac0a3dbac7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27f8…b504backed Yes | 34c | 62,408$21,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,343.86 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 66c | 53,463$35,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,295.39 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked No | 68c | 21,292$14,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,575.73 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 41c | 16,027$6,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,435.1 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…c7bfbacked No | 3c | 5,333$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…e5ddbacked Yes | 20c | 5,100$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 27cpaid | +684.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5230…58f5backed No | 3c | 4,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…165cbacked No | 62c | 3,975$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Yes | 47c | 3,756$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked No | 1c | 3,663$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Yes | 18c | 3,515$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.68 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +176.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed No | 59c | 3,333$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.47 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…7407backed Yes | 43c | 3,025$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.31 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5602…388dbacked Yes | 22c | 2,714$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 63c | 2,404$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.74 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb198…654dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,412$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…9220backed No | 76c | 1,307$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc30a…353bbacked Yes | 41c | 1,222$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked No | 70c | 1,220$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.44 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8371…06febacked Yes | 14c | 1,211$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.77 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked No | 2c | 1,042$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc04b…1424backed Yes | 37c | 999.97$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 25cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed No | 63c | 908$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.78 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 71c | 902.59$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78df…cc90backed Yes | 17c | 807.91$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed No | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd9…6333backed Yes | 26c | 800$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed No | 60c | 740.3$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.75 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 23c | 725.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.26 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +159.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c2…0a62backed Yes | 26c | 700$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd618…96fdbacked Yes | 38c | 562.82$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…0711backed Yes | 15c | 511.49$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +568.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…eee1backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2efc…5686backed Yes | 14c | 430$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3573…b6f9backed Yes | 40c | 418.43$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0002…5e91backed Yes | 38c | 396.44$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62fe…1d08backed Yes | 19c | 390$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +155.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b9…9de1backed Yes | 13c | 390$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +263.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91f…e659backed Yes | 28c | 375$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +195.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…b801backed Yes | 66c | 365.97$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbe…5f66backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a0…f955backed Yes | 13c | 299.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +647.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…acecbacked No | 61c | 297$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5363…f46bbacked No | 73c | 274.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc717…88bbbacked Yes | 39c | 260$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Yes | 35c | 260$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…f710backed No | 62c | 260$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b7…3e22backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 70c | 250.32$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 41c | 250$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.7 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03da…7907backed Yes | 26c | 250$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca5…eccabacked Yes | 19c | 200$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23b…8b75backed Yes | 24c | 190$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 19cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Yes | 41c | 181$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.79 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c70…65abbacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496a…6eeebacked Yes | 42c | 119.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…a6afbacked Yes | 75c | 119.39$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2736…3625backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…6cd9backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3f…8b64backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3879…0df4backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf716…82ccbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…642abacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…3ababacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…6034backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 41cpaid | +233.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…741bbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…ceefbacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38f…19e7backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…498dbacked Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47f…807dbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…a12ebacked Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff1…6949backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…9236backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec67…86b9backed No | 74c | 68.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…431fbacked Yes | 22c | 68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +140.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…e781backed Yes | 33c | 66.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…470fbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33ca…f8e4backed Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2189…04b7backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x786b…9882backed Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d79…a54cbacked Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ff…91a1backed Yes | 40c | 57.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…071cbacked Yes | 40c | 56.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd248…2c3cbacked Yes | 38c | 56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 55c | 53.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…0bc4backed Yes | 38c | 50.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb236…1d5dbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +69%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd517…d1f2backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 26cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37f0…3e25backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +350.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaf…9a30backed No | 61c | 45.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4875…4adfbacked Yes | 40c | 45.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed No | 59c | 41.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb21c…6845backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Noah Lyles (USA) win Gold in 100m?this page
- Will Akani Simbine (RSA) win Gold in 100m?No won
- Will Ferdinand Omanyala (KEN) win Gold in 100m?No won
- Will Fred Kerley (USA) win Gold in 100m?No won
- Will Kenny Bednarek (USA) win Gold in 100m?No won
- Will Kishane Thompson (JAM) win Gold in 100m?No won
- Will Lamon Marcell Jacobs (ITA) win Gold in 100m?No won
- Will Letsile Tebogo (BOT) win Gold in 100m?No won
- Will Oblique Seville (JAM) win Gold in 100m?No won
- Will another athlete win Gold in 100m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.