TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Olympics · resolved market

Will Kishane Thompson (JAM) win Gold in 100m?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,873
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,410

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,873 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Olympics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x542c…f12bbacked Yes2c12,567$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.2270%0 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x241e…c7bfbacked Yes1c10,667$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.67140%0 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5230…58f5backed Yes1c8,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80130%0 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f47…af93backed No38c6,569$2,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,062.232740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42d…e7e4backed Yes62c6,452$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8371…06febacked No43c4,633$2,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,626.552326.1%6 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+85.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed No74c4,594$3,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c2…0a62backed Yes40c3,907$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.262326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed10…d2e5backed Yes64c3,261$2,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,102.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aaa…77b7backed Yes57c2,624$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…d424backed Yes59c2,000$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1751010%1 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick39cpaid-86.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf374…ce1abacked Yes41c1,512$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.851030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f1a…6dc0backed No44c1,200$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.931560%9 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+176.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc30a…353bbacked Yes43c1,138$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.63425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-38.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e82…64abbacked Yes56c1,046$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.381855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed No47c807.11$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.0113419.4%26 W · 108 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadd9…6333backed Yes59c800$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78df…cc90backed Yes58c660$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.1837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed No44c639.11$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.871560%9 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+31.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb33b…092fbacked Yes44c568.18$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-54.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fd8…741bbacked Yes58c557.89$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3211855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Yes42c513.35$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.61616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-54.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9186…9220backed No45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3450…b297backed Yes60c459.42$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Yes51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042650%13 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No55c370.93$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.433522.9%8 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x069e…5383backed Yes41c356.56$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8340%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4268…43e5backed Yes60c330$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1981127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcec3…53a1backed Yes61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae1c…5126backed No63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c9c…5a95backed Yes61c289.13$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes60c264$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.41258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd618…96fdbacked Yes60c262.98$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.79250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62fe…1d08backed Yes58c233.36$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.09933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+155.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6727…db84backed Yes59c225$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.751050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes60c223.68$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.21540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-47.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06c3…5a8abacked Yes42c207.6$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x182b…f022backed No50c201.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.484233.3%14 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+70.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eac…b38bbacked Yes43c193.07$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No71c182.92$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.562343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc941…c3d4backed No42c176.19$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.192653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+38.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x89f2…552fbacked Yes60c168.55$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.132630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb4b…6423backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-73%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26ca…7593backed No60c156.67$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ca8…fad7backed No60c138.54$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36a6…8ae2backed Yes42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.35per pick57cpaid-62.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3aff…362cbacked No60c115$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed No59c111.93$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.013246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-17.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Yes56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3a…1ab8backed Yes41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8e6…dcf1backed Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf804…7747backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb21c…6845backed Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x415c…3c94backed No40c99.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.983231.3%10 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked No47c99.91$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.84245.2%19 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3b…d259backed No59c94.92$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.92560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x635f…e09fbacked Yes45c94.07$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Yes60c85$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-41.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76be…e775backed Yes60c85$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c09…dfb9backed Yes61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1b7…3873backed Yes70c79.08$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-56.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x668d…97d2backed No49c64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.64650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x282e…00f3backed Yes58c60.21$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x786b…9882backed No17c60$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+231.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31c4…a877backed Yes57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-78.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ce3…9236backed Yes61c52$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.721442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ec…56b3backed Yes43c50.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x893e…a75bbacked Yes43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba3f…8b64backed Yes42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211758.8%10 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4523…581abacked Yes41c49.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.49540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec4…0638backed Yes65c46.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x118a…209dbacked No60c45.17$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4875…4adfbacked Yes44c40.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe016…642abacked No44c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.41346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9e1…0458backed Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd547…64c4backed Yes51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-67.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6d8…602fbacked No60c39.17$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34d0…50b9backed Yes57c38.96$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.211050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72d5…e2a5backed No60c35.67$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2570…2200backed Yes59c35.58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b7b…9638backed Yes43c35.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed Yes60c35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214515.6%7 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…165cbacked No60c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91be…308abacked Yes43c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d2…8d6cbacked Yes56c33.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e43…43dfbacked No60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.333100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+164.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb217…9bcdbacked Yes43c33.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-62.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04af…f721backed Yes62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c4…8177backed Yes59c32.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191010%1 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-87.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb984…2a41backed Yes38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.460%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbca5…eccabacked Yes44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+44.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63cc…6e44backed No60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a29…c516backed Yes43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb7dd…c5afbacked No60c28.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.33250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8177…edc7backed Yes43c27.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a6e…53f6backed Yes60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x252c…c1d4backed Yes60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed No56c24.38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.735446.3%25 W · 29 L+7.3wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+159.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xabce…17b6backed Yes57c23.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9efd…431fbacked No47c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.664100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+140.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.