TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x668d…97d2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
304
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 60 out of 100; worst Middle East at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4944.9%22 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42.5B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will Waymo launch in London by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$17.8
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$689.99
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$28.14
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.48
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,531Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+82.9%+$1,269.3
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+2,076.5%+$679.26
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$129.98
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59.7
GPT ads by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.3%+$28.26
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.14
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,701Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,701.21
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+354.5%+$39
Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$60.56
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$209
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$19.11
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$78.7
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+46.4%+$39.85
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4228.6%12 W · 30 L-7.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-48.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Middle East — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$370
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$112
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$444
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$290
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$213
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+28.2%+$44
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+63%+$232
Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$47
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$98
Will the US strike Iran next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+28.2%+$22
Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.1
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$31
Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$25.2
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.35
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.44
Will the U.S. recognize Syrian government by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$655Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+97.6%+$639.23
Will Russia recognize Syrian government by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$615.87
Will an EU nation recognize Syrian government by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$18.8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$121.95
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT3339.4%13 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.79
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.65
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$658Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$420.62
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+89.7%+$3,680.04
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+250.9%+$698.61
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$43
Will the Conservative Party win control of the most London borough councils?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.8
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.24
Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Zoë Garbett win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$342.38
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$48.99
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Will Evelyn Matthei win between 9% and 12% of votes in the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Will Evelyn Matthei win between 12% and 15% of votes in the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Will turnout be between 75% and 78% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.2
North Korea missile test by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.56
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+163.3%+$535.04
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.6
Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor majority?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$607.9
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,695Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+170.5%+$2,889.72
Will the Conservative Party win 13+ seats in Quebec?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$211.94
Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$67.66
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2969%20 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+54.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lord Peter Mandelson Testify to Congress about Epstein?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$39.94
Peter Attia out by February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$102.8
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+55.3%+$59.23
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+150%+$120
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.87
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$168
Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Will Trump mention "South Park" by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+131.6%+$50.95
US-EU trade agreement by July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$34.5
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$231
Will Xi visit the US before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Elon Musk out as Senior Advisor to Trump in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+545.2%+$304.19
US-China trade deal before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$63
Will DOGE audit Fort Knox before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+332.9%+$128.89
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Will China counter tariff the U.S. in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$16.34
Will Trump announce a general Tariff on imports on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+104.7%+$15.12
Price of eggs goes up in Trump's first month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+103.7%+$494.27
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$16.71
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+39.9%+$57
Will Trump say "trans" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+33%+$5.46
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+117.4%+$29.7
Will Trump get over 50% of the Popular Vote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST-100%-$75.71
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+27.8%+$157.13
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-55.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$29.48
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.69
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+37.6%+$79.6
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+37%+$270
Megaquake in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$21.67
Will the highest temperature in London be between 46°F and 47°F on January 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+29.9%+$23
Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on January 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+50.3%+$19.11
Megaquake in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$132.71
70°F in NYC in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$123.54
Megaquake in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$185.48
Megaquake in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,232Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,232.19
2024 September hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$42
August temperature increase greater than 1.29°C?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$25.07
August temperature increase by between 1.25-1.29°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.25
August temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$58
2024 July hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT+142.4%+$235
Will April 2024 show an increase of less than 1.14C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$37
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+115.1%+$53.5
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$63.4
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$33.4
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 18–25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+87.5%+$46.17
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Elon tweet 190-199 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.7
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+40.2%+$162.85
Will Elon tweet 250 or more times Jan 24-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+380.6%+$152.61
Will Elon tweet 225-249 times Jan 24-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+35.1%+$35.1
Will Elon tweet 450-499 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$97.05
Will Elon tweet 400-449 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+163.9%+$977.58
Will Elon tweet less than 400 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$1,023.94
Will Trump post 21-25 times this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2024, EDT+28.2%+$11
Will Elon post 40-49 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT+108.3%+$26
Will Elon tweet between 60 and 69 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.25
Will Elon tweet between 40 and 49 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$21.73
All 17 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-43.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+119.4%+$437.87
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.65
Will Frankenstein be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.16
Will Marty Supreme be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.02
Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Motion Picture – Animated at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13.45
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+33.3%+$16.24
Will "The Substance" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+36.1%+$12.61
Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$59.22
Will 'Wicked' gross between $115-125m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST-100%-$11.54
Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross less than $45m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$34
Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross more than $70m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT+40.8%+$58
Will the HBO documentary identify Nick Szabo as Satoshi?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT+27.6%+$119.12
Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$672Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT+44.4%+$298.39
Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$4,099.69
Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross between $150m and $170m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$10
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.3%+$40.76
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?backed Gaza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$122
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+247.9%+$498.8
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.1
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$702Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+70.9%+$498
Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.5
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+63.9%+$39
Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+61.3%+$19
Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$174.56
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$32
All 15 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$148.31
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.61
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.49
Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.21
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.24
Kanye West arrested in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Will The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$7,701Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+224.7%+$17,307.29
Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$5,267Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+216.6%+$11,406.11
Will “The Fate of Ophelia” have 1.5 Million Likes on Friday at Noon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$301.28
Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.1
Will Poland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$604Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$180.46
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$40.71
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+75.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+49.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Chess — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2024, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$292.62
Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$14.2
Lions vs. Buccaneersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$75
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Darren Elkins vs. Julian Erosabacked Erosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$68.72
Nora Cornolle vs. Hailey Cowanbacked Cowan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$467.16
Will Lando Norris win the Singapore Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NVIDIA largest company before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2024, EDT+85.2%+$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paul Skenes be the National League starting pitcher for the 2025 MLB All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$856Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+63%+$539.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
India vs. Sri Lanka - Cricket T20Ibacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$343.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ESL Counter-Strike Quarterfinals: Spirit vs Natus Vincerebacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$46.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Strategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$131
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.