Cricket · resolved market
India vs. Sri Lanka - Cricket T20I
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x904c3646b06747ec7c19c67dcea32bd98faf313615aeb6bd0c3973fcad4e4eda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiaof India, Sri Lanka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f7d…197cbacked Sri Lanka | 23c | 1,566$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…96debacked India | 77c | 701.3$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Sri Lanka | 26c | 599.95$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.47per pick | 33cpaid | +216.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…165cbacked Sri Lanka | 30c | 590.08$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…b22bbacked India | 75c | 575.11$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…3045backed India | 76c | 229.74$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…7f05backed India | 77c | 158.32$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…53f2backed India | 77c | 143.82$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3a…1ab8backed India | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed Sri Lanka | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…c428backed Sri Lanka | 30c | 99.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…ad03backed India | 70c | 93.21$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193f…efeabacked India | 74c | 85.58$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f00…fc5ebacked India | 77c | 79.94$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a3…0d45backed India | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…8aa7backed India | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc4…7c35backed India | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc458…f4aebacked India | 74c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba07…a7dbbacked India | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aca…d7d5backed India | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.