AI · resolved market
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf6983ec188a61a32f811738de5e4e427925cd42d5f3010bd3ab96f4728f5cd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,462,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,489,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,462,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 95,361$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.94 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…b5a4backed Yes | 1c | 51,583$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.04 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 50,664$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 101 | 0%0 W · 101 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…5577backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…cb9ebacked Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f23…90dbbacked Yes | 2c | 23,825$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…de86backed Yes | 3c | 22,154$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.62 | 88 | 15.9%14 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 21,214$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.21 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 21,159$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 175 | 4%7 W · 168 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2e…1e5bbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…c658backed Yes | 0c | 18,899$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.3 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f23…b36ebacked Yes | 1c | 16,550$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 15,566$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.57 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 1c | 13,477$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 12,776$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb94b…95dbbacked Yes | 1c | 11,560$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 1c | 10,387$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.27 | 55 | 3.6%2 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…5ec5backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 9,893$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 9,267$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.13 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9da8…1b37backed Yes | 0c | 9,128$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15b5…5122backed Yes | 1c | 8,121$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 1c | 7,749$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.63 | 86 | 5.8%5 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e55…8ffdbacked Yes | 1c | 7,613$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.41 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…2d99backed Yes | 0c | 7,551$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb5…a0b4backed Yes | 0c | 7,503$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 1c | 7,409$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.76 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0420…3a51backed Yes | 0c | 7,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 6,570$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.37 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ee…1128backed Yes | 0c | 6,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 0c | 6,417$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 70 | 0%0 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b9…de55backed Yes | 4c | 6,310$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.81 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +235.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5acd…c079backed Yes | 2c | 6,267$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…8f47backed Yes | 1c | 6,120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…9fcbbacked Yes | 3c | 5,997$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,697$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x978e…80bcbacked Yes | 2c | 5,600$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.37 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x939b…9cd7backed Yes | 1c | 5,135$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 2c | 5,096$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 87 | 0%0 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…5db6backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 1c | 4,955$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 2c | 4,904$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.93 | 85 | 0%0 W · 85 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 1c | 4,805$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb4…f4c6backed Yes | 1c | 4,705$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 3c | 4,333$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.69 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 14c | 4,168$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.6 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 1c | 3,569$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a3…66a5backed Yes | 3c | 3,555$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked Yes | 0c | 3,491$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x753f…2a5fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,125$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c1…24d3backed Yes | 2c | 2,948$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes | 1c | 2,896$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…709dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,889$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,737$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 72 | 4.2%3 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 2c | 2,521$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6302…7917backed Yes | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 1c | 2,497$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc96d…658fbacked Yes | 6c | 2,052$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5584…6e2abacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 1c | 1,898$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…3f4bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,562$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…a23cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,508$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c2…735dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,449$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 2c | 1,382$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…2969backed Yes | 1c | 1,230$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,225$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,129$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 54 | 5.6%3 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96e0…b648backed Yes | 6c | 1,071$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…d808backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed Yes | 13c | 999.85$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.98 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…be06backed Yes | 1c | 950$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x561c…e0fdbacked Yes | 1c | 935$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed Yes | 2c | 916.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 3c | 908.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7c…c08ebacked Yes | 5c | 899.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…6895backed Yes | 2c | 884.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 2c | 849.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…54dcbacked Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d86…d0a2backed Yes | 13c | 824$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 3c | 800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…0615backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a15…7036backed Yes | 5c | 700$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…ebedbacked Yes | 13c | 670$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…2f88backed Yes | 2c | 637.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ed…ecf7backed Yes | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…56a5backed Yes | 7c | 499.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…6d9cbacked Yes | 14c | 494.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc612…7d6dbacked Yes | 3c | 460$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589f…4046backed Yes | 4c | 452.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b05…a5c3backed Yes | 3c | 399.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7866…8645backed Yes | 3c | 334.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ec…2ba2backed Yes | 5c | 317.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f7…6e44backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd788…f375backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 12c | 300$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -7.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…0114backed Yes | 4c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 14c | 299.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?this page
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No won
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No won
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No won
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes won
- Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No won
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.