AI · resolved market
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9ec9b9d878c85fd70038f711c85b81a576e4806708a70cea06f1476cd7d46bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,568,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,104,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,568,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e04…cb9ebacked No | 0c | 42,581$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 4c | 34,124$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.96 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed No | 4c | 32,788$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.95 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…8bbcbacked No | 2c | 30,349$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec10…bbc7backed No | 7c | 28,448$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 3c | 26,969$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.07 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 4c | 23,297$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.51 | 55 | 3.6%2 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 3c | 19,257$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.19 | 86 | 5.8%5 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked No | 3c | 17,663$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.17 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 2c | 17,546$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.07 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed No | 0c | 17,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed No | 2c | 16,748$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.95 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 2c | 15,289$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.64 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 4c | 14,680$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.75 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f23…b36ebacked No | 4c | 14,628$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.03 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 4c | 13,943$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.09 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 4c | 13,412$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.14 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 5c | 11,387$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.66 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3420…300bbacked No | 10c | 10,511$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f23…90dbbacked No | 3c | 10,141$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.82 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 4c | 10,134$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.45 | 85 | 0%0 W · 85 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…de86backed No | 5c | 10,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 88 | 15.9%14 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked No | 7c | 9,999$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 4c | 9,607$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.27 | 87 | 0%0 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…9edabacked No | 1c | 9,514$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed No | 1c | 8,900$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…b464backed No | 3c | 8,573$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.12 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 4c | 7,880$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.95 | 54 | 5.6%3 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48c4…7e92backed No | 1c | 7,617$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e55…8ffdbacked No | 4c | 7,177$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.02 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 4c | 7,155$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.93 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…678cbacked No | 1c | 6,222$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked No | 3c | 5,576$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.25 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed No | 2c | 5,458$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0325…16e7backed No | 3c | 5,088$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 3c | 5,006$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.47 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda08…72d4backed No | 6c | 5,000$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.62 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.97 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 7c | 5,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.98 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked No | 1c | 4,937$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.42 | 76 | 7.9%6 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked No | 5c | 4,852$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.02 | 72 | 4.2%3 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 6c | 4,619$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.26 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf49e…725cbacked No | 0c | 4,610$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e0…ad22backed No | 2c | 4,292$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 5c | 4,000$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.11 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…c658backed No | 2c | 3,900$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 3,679$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.11 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 2c | 3,625$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 8c | 3,436$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.86 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac8…d352backed No | 1c | 3,420$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 10c | 3,047$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.11 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b8…0e90backed No | 3c | 3,015$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…de68backed No | 5c | 2,845$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4146…82fdbacked No | 4c | 2,801$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 4c | 2,679$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.47 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 3c | 2,638$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.44 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…2969backed No | 5c | 2,521$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.37 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 3c | 2,512$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dff…1f35backed No | 5c | 2,500$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…bbe1backed No | 6c | 2,491$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 3c | 2,458$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.19 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce8…2a73backed No | 5c | 2,425$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…61f0backed No | 4c | 2,416$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3903…e027backed No | 3c | 2,414$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dc…0da7backed No | 5c | 2,145$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc612…7d6dbacked No | 5c | 2,125$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked No | 4c | 2,034$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…0029backed No | 4c | 1,998$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed No | 2c | 1,830$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ad…297abacked No | 2c | 1,800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7a…d37ebacked No | 1c | 1,800$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 9c | 1,790$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.81 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d2…c588backed No | 4c | 1,778$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 6c | 1,723$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.27 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b13…5957backed No | 4c | 1,700$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 5c | 1,677$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…5529backed No | 9c | 1,674$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0396…2039backed No | 1c | 1,503$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked No | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4013…4d70backed No | 3c | 1,471$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +285.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6605…cda1backed No | 4c | 1,440$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x173e…2d86backed No | 3c | 1,431$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ab…97a4backed No | 3c | 1,421$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…7928backed No | 4c | 1,330$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…9f70backed Yes | 79c | 1,326$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.49 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +5.5wins | +0.29per pick | 40cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad7…0971backed No | 1c | 1,311$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd80…7e2cbacked No | 2c | 1,200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7c…c08ebacked No | 8c | 1,200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 7c | 1,117$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 7c | 1,111$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 7c | 1,100$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e0…0720backed No | 4c | 1,079$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187a…2798backed No | 2c | 1,059$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…92b8backed No | 7c | 1,022$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd4…d37abacked No | 3c | 1,008$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed No | 3c | 1,001$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2383…fef0backed No | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…feb0backed No | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed No | 15c | 999.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?this page
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No won
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No won
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No won
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No won
- Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No won
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.