AI · resolved market
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6eec5f51ea76de37b7a25e5511c7ff19d301de27141ffc269c08230edf9ee52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,310,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $829,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,310,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 90,288$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.74 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 1c | 66,869$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.25 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…cb9ebacked Yes | 0c | 52,834$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda08…72d4backed Yes | 5c | 48,045$2,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,634 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…8aa4backed Yes | 9c | 30,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 26,739$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.74 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…b5a4backed Yes | 1c | 26,620$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.37 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 21,812$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.16 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b97…bc9cbacked Yes | 2c | 20,482$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 19,714$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.29 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…bc74backed Yes | 4c | 15,048$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 3c | 14,617$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.44 | 55 | 3.6%2 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…de86backed Yes | 4c | 14,280$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 88 | 15.9%14 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 13,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 12,861$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x978e…80bcbacked Yes | 2c | 11,813$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.37 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeadf…7157backed Yes | 0c | 11,720$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7a…d37ebacked Yes | 1c | 11,680$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.3 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c8…de9ebacked Yes | 9c | 11,098$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 3c | 10,545$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.27 | 86 | 5.8%5 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…e6c2backed Yes | 1c | 9,772$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x753f…2a5fbacked Yes | 2c | 9,403$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…5577backed Yes | 1c | 9,244$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 8,340$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.61 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 2c | 8,264$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.76 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 7,743$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.25 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8429…4d32backed Yes | 1c | 7,046$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 2c | 6,970$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.81 | 87 | 0%0 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5584…6e2abacked Yes | 1c | 6,922$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…118fbacked Yes | 4c | 6,652$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 2c | 6,386$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.69 | 85 | 0%0 W · 85 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4424…4cc6backed Yes | 9c | 6,319$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd4…d37abacked Yes | 6c | 5,513$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 3c | 5,476$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.91 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef6…ea2bbacked Yes | 6c | 5,179$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ad…1b61backed Yes | 1c | 5,178$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939b…9cd7backed Yes | 4c | 5,135$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.71 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…48babacked Yes | 1c | 5,064$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7e67backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c1…c03abacked Yes | 3c | 4,941$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ac…1fa1backed Yes | 1c | 4,495$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa511…18a3backed Yes | 6c | 4,278$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b13…5957backed Yes | 1c | 4,257$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,133$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 72 | 4.2%3 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a71…d71dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,115$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…33f1backed Yes | 7c | 3,879$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd3…1c90backed Yes | 3c | 3,812$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 2c | 3,747$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.62 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…61e4backed Yes | 3c | 3,736$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…419abacked Yes | 0c | 3,667$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15b5…5122backed Yes | 4c | 3,663$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…9363backed Yes | 3c | 3,627$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e0…b648backed Yes | 2c | 3,601$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.43 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…70a6backed Yes | 4c | 3,589$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…b464backed Yes | 4c | 3,563$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.25 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb4…f4c6backed Yes | 2c | 3,509$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.21 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 1c | 3,379$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed Yes | 1c | 3,255$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Yes | 5c | 3,241$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0330…eb8fbacked Yes | 2c | 3,147$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Yes | 1c | 3,105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 1c | 3,046$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 1c | 3,043$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 76 | 7.9%6 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a15…7036backed Yes | 3c | 2,925$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a2…36f2backed Yes | 1c | 2,916$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…9edabacked Yes | 1c | 2,858$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 2,853$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 175 | 4%7 W · 168 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9d…3eb8backed Yes | 1c | 2,816$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33b…2372backed Yes | 4c | 2,801$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 3c | 2,768$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…b10bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,734$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x464a…4aa5backed Yes | 5c | 2,570$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96d…658fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,511$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 0c | 2,507$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…9ed1backed Yes | 1c | 2,453$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,438$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9313…ddb5backed Yes | 4c | 2,419$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba0…97bfbacked Yes | 2c | 2,370$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes | 2c | 2,364$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…d876backed Yes | 1c | 2,336$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ee…0abdbacked Yes | 2c | 2,301$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Yes | 3c | 2,300$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…3c98backed Yes | 1c | 2,292$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…5476backed Yes | 8c | 2,255$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 4c | 2,254$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.14 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4694…b41fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,187$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf214…b639backed Yes | 7c | 2,180$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ea…4285backed Yes | 2c | 2,164$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 1c | 2,139$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 70 | 0%0 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…1db3backed Yes | 4c | 2,137$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f43…9447backed Yes | 4c | 2,122$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb24…30ccbacked Yes | 2c | 2,101$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…6895backed Yes | 1c | 2,093$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…2969backed Yes | 5c | 2,065$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.52 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…feb0backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…56a5backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c29…0b7cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,982$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.93 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba54…409fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,935$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?this page
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No won
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No won
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No won
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes won
- Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No won
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.