TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f7a…d37e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 56 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick17cpaid+38%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.71
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.83
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.81
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$73.3
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+288.3%+$216.06
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$64.05
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$84.82
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$112.78
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+1,053.8%+$153.44
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.97
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+284.6%+$59.19
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$52.12
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$13.83
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+316.7%+$47.5
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the government shutdown end November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+177.8%+$128
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$55.5
All 19 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-67.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$95.39
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$112.3
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$16.99
Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.73
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$40.52
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$75.46
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+138.1%+$17.4
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.5
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$62.3
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$44
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-67.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.46
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$89.96
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$72.65
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$24.8
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$106.45
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$195.33
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$176.17
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$47.92
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+286.4%+$133.42
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$72.38
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$36.4
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$187.2
All 12 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick26cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+307.3%+$169.65
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$29.52
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$143.4
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30.57
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$48.6
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+144.3%+$94.5
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$21.8
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+300%+$120
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+65.9%+$131.71
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$180.24
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$67.53
All 11 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-44.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.17
Michigan Wolverines vs. Northwestern Wildcatsbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.75
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$14.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+73.2%+$65.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$57.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio State vs. Michiganbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$60.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.