Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeb92ddd77d671d1f9ea1f5727208d1fa91896a6d1f657fdcd7c9d578fe5c46c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,467,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,636,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,467,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 71c | 481,499$343,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138,216.66 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 7c | 417,313$27,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,643.98 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe264…7a75backed Yes | 19c | 364,269$67,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,401.9 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 5c | 300,000$15,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,790.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf523…3f69backed Yes | 20c | 289,836$59,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,348.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 7c | 208,386$13,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,578.71 | 65 | 9.2%6 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b3…ed67backed Yes | 1c | 207,149$3,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,032.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…f955backed Yes | 12c | 182,769$21,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,336.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…657fbacked Yes | 51c | 178,219$91,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,152.04 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 64c | 175,212$112,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,612.23 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x075e…1840backed Yes | 1c | 162,797$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.85 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8a…e4cdbacked Yes | 15c | 151,865$23,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,513.56 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 5c | 150,240$8,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,005.79 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed No | 74c | 132,281$98,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,971.98 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 68c | 119,094$80,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,354.66 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b87…d95cbacked No | 69c | 116,587$81,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,560.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe779…87e0backed No | 23c | 92,361$21,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,347.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 2c | 89,928$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.26 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07ca…a694backed No | 57c | 87,591$49,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,037.44 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0f…9cbbbacked No | 76c | 84,445$64,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,912.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…bd9dbacked No | 23c | 76,771$18,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,747.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +113%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked No | 70c | 75,478$53,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,323.77 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…b089backed Yes | 11c | 73,038$8,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,322.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 79c | 71,076$55,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,263.91 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 27c | 70,601$18,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,989.58 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d2…90abbacked No | 74c | 69,435$51,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,934.87 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 3c | 68,120$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.57 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52db…8abbbacked Yes | 4c | 66,250$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked No | 40c | 65,357$26,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,192.86 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…6086backed Yes | 25c | 61,748$15,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,555 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1394…91f5backed Yes | 33c | 61,420$19,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,971.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 37c | 58,936$22,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,886.52 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c7…a2febacked No | 75c | 57,302$42,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,449.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed No | 34c | 56,972$19,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,481.89 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Yes | 54c | 53,985$29,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,109.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…4fb9backed No | 78c | 53,352$41,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,843.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc972…ad10backed Yes | 5c | 50,894$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…eed5backed Yes | 44c | 50,810$22,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,206.02 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 1c | 50,055$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.4 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17c7…a347backed Yes | 20c | 49,909$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbd…fb37backed Yes | 71c | 48,000$33,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,967.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…2d03backed Yes | 65c | 47,914$30,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,997 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2424…3b61backed No | 18c | 47,716$8,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,127.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…62e0backed No | 48c | 45,752$21,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,765.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…2aadbacked Yes | 15c | 45,014$6,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,731.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…1a67backed No | 65c | 44,550$28,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,587.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…4de2backed Yes | 3c | 42,817$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 4c | 42,789$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.05 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd76f…0767backed Yes | 10c | 42,057$4,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,205.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…0234backed Yes | 17c | 41,843$6,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,904.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f72…2d20backed No | 23c | 41,553$9,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,996.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…82cfbacked No | 55c | 41,387$22,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,445.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3283…1da9backed Yes | 63c | 41,035$26,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,022.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 54c | 40,087$21,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,718.74 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd0…93dcbacked Yes | 5c | 40,049$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.95 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c9…4c22backed Yes | 45c | 39,879$17,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,860.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd9…cda3backed No | 52c | 38,518$19,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,641.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 37,022$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.07 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8c…ddecbacked Yes | 4c | 36,432$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.64 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -9.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…09dabacked No | 14c | 34,434$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,573.94 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 29cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 1c | 33,829$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x259a…991dbacked Yes | 52c | 33,729$17,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,660.14 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6379…a7dcbacked No | 70c | 33,475$23,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,180.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa944…461abacked Yes | 3c | 33,314$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.41 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a18…43b3backed Yes | 59c | 33,100$19,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,460 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff01…73ccbacked No | 65c | 32,741$21,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,578.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bde…8c91backed No | 32c | 31,532$9,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,541.27 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 39cpaid | +150.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c27…59dabacked Yes | 15c | 31,530$4,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,625.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…8633backed Yes | 25c | 31,496$7,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,963.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…cd94backed Yes | 1c | 31,351$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…6a8bbacked Yes | 2c | 31,310$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4c…efddbacked No | 32c | 30,963$9,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,043.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x978c…3afabacked Yes | 36c | 30,362$10,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,946.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98c3…b28dbacked No | 34c | 29,564$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,564.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6212…322cbacked Yes | 3c | 29,420$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…e7c2backed Yes | 45c | 28,527$12,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,765.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa622…7bb6backed Yes | 20c | 27,528$5,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,501.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fc…ce0bbacked No | 56c | 25,794$14,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,314.01 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ef…31a0backed Yes | 66c | 25,546$16,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,793 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac80…97b1backed No | 76c | 25,000$19,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,980 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…c355backed No | 41c | 24,341$9,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,370.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…c666backed Yes | 45c | 24,142$10,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,962.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7915…a329backed Yes | 5c | 24,094$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -63%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc302…f388backed Yes | 12c | 23,762$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 12cpaid | +221.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb544…c84fbacked Yes | 39c | 23,469$9,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,189.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Yes | 7c | 23,378$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.29 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb7…6ff7backed Yes | 29c | 23,288$6,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,732.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…025abacked No | 59c | 22,568$13,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,233.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7040…81fabacked No | 31c | 22,200$6,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,303.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…2bd5backed Yes | 3c | 22,091$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd0…64e9backed Yes | 22c | 22,081$4,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,821.29 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 2c | 22,058$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.01 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596e…7b82backed Yes | 14c | 21,880$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed Yes | 72c | 21,729$15,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,737.89 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cd…f566backed Yes | 4c | 21,659$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.97 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +105%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed Yes | 23c | 20,997$4,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,827.62 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…9f4abacked Yes | 60c | 20,868$12,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,498.96 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -12.2wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…e881backed No | 46c | 20,810$9,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,295.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4355…9682backed Yes | 54c | 20,763$11,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,239.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 by December 31?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $4,000 by December 31?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31?No won
- Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No won
- Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?No won
- Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?No won
- Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?Yes won
- Will Ethereum hit $4,400 by December 31?Yes won
- Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?No won
- Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?No won
- Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.