TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x10fb…c66c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
311
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 62 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT11554.8%63 W · 52 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 115 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26,408Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,408.19
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 9-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$30.38
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,253Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25.6%+$577.66
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 February 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$349.28
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 February 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+70.6%+$196.52
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+41.5%+$145.05
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 January 26-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,548Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,548.18
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 January 26-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$369.2
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$204.82
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+127.3%+$280
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13,816Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13,816.35
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24,328Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24,327.89
Ethereum all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$6,397Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$6,396.78
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$4,755Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,755.05
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$70,796Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30%+$21,246.62
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$53,154Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42%+$22,323.77
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,808Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.4%+$853.61
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$6,796Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$6,795.76
Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$63.88
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,715Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,715.18
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$592Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$592.29
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$249.07
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,941Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,940.83
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,871Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$4,870.52
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$743Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$743.07
Showing 25 of 115 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT9747.4%46 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 97 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33,716Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33,716.42
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,317Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,316.76
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.4
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,160
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$330
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,220
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$540
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$302.68
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,580Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$420
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,506Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$1,545.86
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$45.32
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$8,150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$6,956.69
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,300
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$956Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$2,719.68
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,944Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,943.74
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$680
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$530
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+33.3%+$250
76ers vs. Pacersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+25%+$200
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$530
Hornets vs. Wizardsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$210
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$590
Magic vs. Kingsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+29.9%+$230
Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+132.6%+$284.99
Showing 25 of 97 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT2123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-67.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,398Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$397.16
Will the DHS shutdown last 80 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$386.01
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,564Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,563.6
Will the DHS shutdown last 52 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.22
Will the DHS shutdown last 48 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,093Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,093.27
Will the DHS shutdown last 44 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,255.95
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,331Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$1,523.39
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$829Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$829.07
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,730Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,729.99
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$260.4
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,697Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$3,696.88
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$238.65
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$983Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$982.74
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$3,135Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$3,134.76
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$115
Will Eric Adams drop out by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$190
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.54
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$5,958Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,958.28
Will Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$182.17
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10,498Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+49.3%+$5,170.47
Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,925Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+27.4%+$1,074.99
All 21 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-92.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$1,200
Deel IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.26
Mistral AI IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$73.16
Databricks IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.55
Anthropic IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$94.95
xAI IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.03
Applied Intuition IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.03
Anduril IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.45
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.43
Glean IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$98.85
Brex IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.49
Remote IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.44
Celonis IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$94.93
Rippling IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.26
Ripple Labs IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.7
Ramp IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.47
Stripe IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$69.45
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+27.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "All-Time High" or "All-Time Low" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+41%+$22.11
Will Warsh say "Downside" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$135.01
Will Warsh say "I Don't Know" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$27.73
Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$7.6
Will Warsh say "Stock" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$13
Will Warsh say "Trend" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.85
Will Powell say "Sorry" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,043Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+36.2%+$1,100.8
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+90.1%+$386.45
Will three people dissent the September Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+71.4%+$187.4
Will two people dissent the September Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$106.14
Will no one dissent September Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,139Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$714.49
Will one person dissent the September Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$384.28
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,170
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$460
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$390
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$550
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$420
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$560
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$520
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$671Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$671
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$561Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$539
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$561
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Utahbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$535.76
Capitals vs. Rangersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+100%+$500
Ducks vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$20
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,259.99
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$480
All 5 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-42.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick27cpaid+169.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$290
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$700
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$790
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick27cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boise State vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,400
Georgia Tech vs. Dukebacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$540
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$819.99
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+43.9%+$305
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-31.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,653Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,652.78
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12,955Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+96.8%+$12,544.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$5,117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,117.09
Nothing Ever Happens: Taylor Swift Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$447.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,170Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$2,829.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs. Mercurybacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$450
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$450.03
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.