Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33ddcf47b2130f8102cc66eea83633467fbf362e9e06c8898f21cec3ce62ff4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $703,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $634,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $703,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b91…e572backed Yes | 9c | 29,663$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,655.44 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 28,678$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…9036backed Yes | 12c | 22,079$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.63 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -83%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 4c | 15,435$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed No | 70c | 14,363$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,362.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 9c | 13,452$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.21 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…6e0fbacked No | 79c | 13,370$10,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,767.84 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +7.0wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 11,171$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…d43fbacked No | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Yes | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…b52dbacked Yes | 3c | 9,843$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.43 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf960…fcbfbacked Yes | 1c | 8,195$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Yes | 2c | 8,147$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 83 | 2.4%2 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5412…f86fbacked Yes | 19c | 8,134$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b4…d3e9backed Yes | 1c | 7,885$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…b13ebacked Yes | 13c | 6,478$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 14c | 5,463$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.07 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4de3…45b1backed Yes | 11c | 5,342$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc66…83e1backed Yes | 19c | 5,279$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cd…f566backed Yes | 6c | 5,031$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.86 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +105%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57f7…514abacked Yes | 3c | 4,963$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1e…04c0backed Yes | 0c | 4,864$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 15c | 4,625$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.09 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…52c0backed Yes | 7c | 4,393$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.6 | 64 | 7.8%5 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…32afbacked Yes | 56c | 4,130$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed Yes | 1c | 4,018$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 8c | 4,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…eecbbacked Yes | 2c | 4,000$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 6c | 3,868$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.84 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 2c | 3,605$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 54 | 11.1%6 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 2c | 3,536$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.45 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d2…05a8backed Yes | 6c | 3,056$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.62 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfc…83ebbacked Yes | 9c | 2,778$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…c983backed Yes | 8c | 2,602$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.52 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4705…3988backed Yes | 13c | 2,316$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 13c | 2,051$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.73 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…f112backed No | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…5016backed No | 76c | 1,999$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.8 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Yes | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 24c | 1,918$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.78 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…7adcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,674$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…0d99backed Yes | 18c | 1,673$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7558…2d70backed Yes | 2c | 1,595$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 110 | 5.5%6 W · 104 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c76…c8d5backed Yes | 15c | 1,500$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -52%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…4cfbbacked Yes | 2c | 1,458$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6824…f6e6backed Yes | 12c | 1,400$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.1 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +84%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…7e06backed Yes | 13c | 1,300$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…d824backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6583…9b6bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,223$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f4…43d8backed Yes | 10c | 1,205$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.11 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…524cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,168$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.34 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…766bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,065$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.95 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 9cpaid | +269.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ed…09fcbacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…52c2backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…cb81backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1c…ad56backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb438…0fffbacked Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…e701backed Yes | 13c | 962.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…f622backed Yes | 46c | 961.04$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea8c…ddecbacked Yes | 6c | 933.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -9.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc946…698bbacked Yes | 13c | 931.6$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b0d1backed Yes | 15c | 913.87$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -76%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b6…720bbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a8…68c8backed Yes | 13c | 906.3$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 893.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3a…3b06backed Yes | 4c | 835.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89f…0df8backed Yes | 9c | 825.32$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3af…1aa6backed Yes | 10c | 817.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.42 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…5df1backed Yes | 12c | 800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…01ffbacked Yes | 23c | 765.13$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc654…3126backed Yes | 13c | 732.46$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked Yes | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…6370backed Yes | 13c | 650$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 21c | 643$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.11 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd86c…98aabacked No | 79c | 633$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.93 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…50c4backed No | 75c | 632.84$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48f…1874backed Yes | 3c | 600$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…ff11backed No | 74c | 543.99$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.88 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa44d…79c8backed Yes | 9c | 517.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16d4…6e9bbacked Yes | 3c | 512.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…7a9fbacked Yes | 15c | 510$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x723e…ba7fbacked No | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52c5…924bbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a82…30aebacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8250…8900backed Yes | 8c | 500$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…92f9backed Yes | 4c | 475.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…d3aabacked Yes | 7c | 471.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7719…fbc8backed Yes | 11c | 454.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…f71cbacked Yes | 11c | 450$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e4…068bbacked Yes | 5c | 422.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c5…0951backed Yes | 7c | 416.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…0237backed Yes | 17c | 412.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53da…7603backed No | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffb…b2f8backed Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…2aa7backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 7c | 374.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3a…6e70backed Yes | 8c | 370.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…b6dcbacked Yes | 15c | 349.57$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,200 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,400 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,600 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,800 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.