Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x026c2b146120264d4e14b9d8f8e5356f5dbb3e48f397f51b7a5ca4359b89318a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $951,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $974,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $951,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed No | 72c | 40,958$29,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,301.2 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 1c | 40,854$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.78 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b91…e572backed Yes | 18c | 34,748$6,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,130.09 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 31,755$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Yes | 29c | 27,880$8,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,091.16 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…6e0fbacked No | 70c | 18,329$12,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,526.46 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +7.0wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 3c | 17,120$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.14 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 77c | 14,000$10,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,286.34 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca5…8727backed Yes | 5c | 12,999$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.45 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +280.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5412…f86fbacked Yes | 29c | 10,345$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked No | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 13c | 9,160$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.12 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cd…f566backed Yes | 9c | 9,061$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +105%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 23c | 8,313$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.83 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcc66…83e1backed Yes | 24c | 8,235$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bf…8ecebacked Yes | 11c | 8,163$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.63 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…f0d3backed Yes | 3c | 7,806$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fbf6backed Yes | 7c | 7,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 76c | 6,876$5,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.62 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 1c | 6,847$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 54 | 11.1%6 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x421d…b960backed Yes | 69c | 6,752$4,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,678.6 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -5.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 2c | 6,614$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.65 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…e746backed Yes | 3c | 6,600$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes | 1c | 6,491$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.81 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 28c | 6,000$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…2aa7backed Yes | 41c | 4,964$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.94 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19b4…d3e9backed Yes | 1c | 4,900$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…524cbacked Yes | 17c | 4,684$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.57 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b0d1backed Yes | 16c | 4,664$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.23 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -76%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1e…04c0backed Yes | 0c | 4,171$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7e…23ebbacked No | 80c | 4,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 69cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…d91ebacked No | 77c | 4,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…b52dbacked Yes | 3c | 4,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…d7c7backed Yes | 21c | 3,992$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.95 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c83…72eabacked Yes | 2c | 3,904$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Yes | 10c | 3,728$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…52c0backed Yes | 12c | 3,512$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.1 | 64 | 7.8%5 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25a…7dd5backed No | 78c | 3,479$2,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.36 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…b13ebacked Yes | 20c | 3,357$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5542…a7e7backed Yes | 25c | 3,340$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 3,232$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.66 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd09b…78e9backed No | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed No | 76c | 2,608$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.39 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x720b…d2cdbacked Yes | 4c | 2,607$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa455…1c6fbacked Yes | 15c | 2,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 29c | 2,417$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.76 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 66c | 2,400$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.99 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf02…8b0fbacked Yes | 68c | 2,357$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae7…9603backed No | 75c | 2,276$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…c64bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,246$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3a…3b06backed Yes | 4c | 2,230$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aea…518fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,190$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…1f07backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5b…a593backed Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…d824backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed No | 71c | 2,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.82 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…48e0backed Yes | 20c | 1,980$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…ff11backed Yes | 23c | 1,921$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.33 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc111…1715backed Yes | 4c | 1,889$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ba…d818backed No | 71c | 1,873$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068d…70d3backed Yes | 3c | 1,724$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 6cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea8c…ddecbacked Yes | 10c | 1,661$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -9.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…aeacbacked Yes | 49c | 1,637$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a47…aa53backed Yes | 29c | 1,545$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.77 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 20c | 1,501$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.34 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffb…b2f8backed Yes | 21c | 1,500$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eed…955dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad45…b8c9backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 93 | 7.5%7 W · 86 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9af2…b14ebacked No | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1776…3c7ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,475$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…4513backed Yes | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d2…05a8backed Yes | 3c | 1,436$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9a…340bbacked No | 80c | 1,400$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked Yes | 32c | 1,400$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.89 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…783ebacked No | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2beb…0a24backed Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0444…9601backed Yes | 18c | 1,185$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,173$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.03 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a0…8f62backed No | 64c | 1,145$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4c…ed32backed Yes | 9c | 1,140$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee5e…e619backed Yes | 2c | 1,125$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa144…bde0backed Yes | 2c | 1,099$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,058$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…c4f6backed Yes | 22c | 1,055$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…c983backed Yes | 10c | 1,050$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 2c | 1,047$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…0d99backed Yes | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e3…93f2backed Yes | 14c | 1,002$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.72 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1c…ad56backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…a92fbacked No | 33c | 999.45$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.63 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa2…43febacked Yes | 4c | 950$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf5…606bbacked No | 78c | 946.9$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c49…fbebbacked Yes | 22c | 927.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…11f1backed Yes | 4c | 923$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf56…102cbacked Yes | 4c | 900$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…766bbacked Yes | 21c | 881.71$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.98 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 9cpaid | +269.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd86c…d09abacked Yes | 6c | 881.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | +131.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,200 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,400 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,600 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,800 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.