Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeee1dc1f7950f5d69532c667bc3eab7d81b2ccba73c5c1ce79a9833a8cb64c9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,736,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,661,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,736,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 9c | 73,793$6,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,441.45 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c6b4backed Yes | 2c | 72,297$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.59 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 17c | 62,333$10,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,553.65 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 9c | 46,500$4,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,382.87 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…4cd5backed Yes | 7c | 34,369$2,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456.2 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 11c | 24,962$2,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.15 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…cc11backed Yes | 20c | 20,242$4,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,127.72 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 1c | 19,343$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 18c | 16,717$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.34 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 4c | 15,029$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.42 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 74c | 14,364$10,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,667.54 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dd…903fbacked Yes | 8c | 14,271$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf2…15bbbacked Yes | 13c | 12,820$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cd…77c1backed No | 72c | 11,822$8,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec90…487cbacked Yes | 0c | 11,244$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 11,093$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.8 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bd…f6a8backed Yes | 11c | 10,704$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…ef9fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,400$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a7…e277backed Yes | 0c | 10,346$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6a…31f4backed Yes | 0c | 10,220$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb016…982dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,168$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 14c | 10,150$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.51 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0a…df43backed Yes | 10c | 10,104$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e0…4012backed Yes | 10c | 9,935$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.54 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 12c | 9,256$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.67 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde92…5e10backed Yes | 8c | 9,251$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4469…f927backed Yes | 12c | 8,348$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 15c | 7,274$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.55 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 7c | 7,161$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.7 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 7,010$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 11c | 6,965$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.41 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aed…46fabacked Yes | 16c | 6,211$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.8 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3081…b1f6backed Yes | 11c | 5,623$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ae5fbacked Yes | 21c | 5,538$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.65 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44e3…d5dabacked Yes | 4c | 5,291$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 5,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…41d5backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6088…d77bbacked Yes | 21c | 4,855$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cd…f566backed Yes | 10c | 4,493$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.26 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +105%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaed2…8e93backed Yes | 6c | 4,410$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.96 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fa…0fbcbacked Yes | 15c | 4,375$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.3 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 15cpaid | -88.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 10c | 4,332$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.22 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d70…b809backed Yes | 12c | 4,094$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…4229backed Yes | 12c | 4,090$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5128…13d9backed Yes | 25c | 4,049$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,762$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23b8…63acbacked Yes | 20c | 3,730$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.1 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -86%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd21…efdbbacked Yes | 3c | 3,699$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.34 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb76f…970cbacked Yes | 9c | 3,633$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…fca5backed Yes | 15c | 3,364$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Yes | 19c | 3,200$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.6 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c4…a051backed Yes | 8c | 3,099$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb4…b811backed Yes | 20c | 3,000$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…524cbacked Yes | 17c | 2,876$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068d…70d3backed Yes | 2c | 2,775$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 6cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…29f7backed Yes | 11c | 2,662$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…9993backed Yes | 11c | 2,632$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe551…7382backed Yes | 1c | 2,533$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd772…ceb5backed No | 77c | 2,515$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…9055backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…511dbacked Yes | 12c | 2,312$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…7645backed Yes | 19c | 2,288$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.42 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 14c | 2,252$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.46 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…346abacked Yes | 15c | 2,249$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…9042backed Yes | 14c | 2,190$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…7251backed Yes | 10c | 2,164$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.74 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Yes | 12c | 2,095$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.19 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc25a…f814backed Yes | 10c | 2,003$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked No | 76c | 2,000$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.19 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x41e9…8f9fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,997$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.32 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7719…fbc8backed Yes | 3c | 1,882$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c8…de9ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,875$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d8…d7b9backed Yes | 13c | 1,873$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…73ddbacked Yes | 5c | 1,720$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.72 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd69…0986backed Yes | 12c | 1,653$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -85%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…2a9fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,522$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed No | 75c | 1,322$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,221$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.47 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bc…c5fabacked Yes | 38c | 1,136$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b34…cca8backed No | 79c | 1,112$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…a499backed Yes | 28c | 1,089$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,080$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.45 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…f655backed Yes | 8c | 1,020$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.55 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 6cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…d868backed Yes | 22c | 1,006$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b3…6486backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d7…eaf2backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…0929backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1c…ad56backed Yes | 15c | 999.95$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.28 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b4…9420backed Yes | 5c | 999.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed No | 76c | 992.56$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.66 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +11.1wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x821f…2dfbbacked Yes | 9c | 990.52$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe527…dbc5backed Yes | 8c | 979$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…c6fcbacked No | 79c | 924$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.85 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe784…e664backed Yes | 20c | 900$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…b5bfbacked No | 77c | 848$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.74 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e0…e93ebacked No | 77c | 800$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48c1…8febbacked Yes | 8c | 789.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…5564backed Yes | 15c | 781.15$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a8…53a3backed Yes | 16c | 773.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47d2…bb41backed Yes | 6c | 773$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,200 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,400 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,600 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,800 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.