TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7532…c6fc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
250
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 57 out of 100; worst Weather at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT11265.2%73 W · 39 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 112 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 4-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$247
Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$63
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 March 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 February 23-March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+32.4%+$17.36
Will Solana dip to $80 February 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$49.9
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 February 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 February 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.91
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 February 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+97.2%+$49.28
Will Solana reach $110 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$84.85
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 February 2-8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$68.2
Will Solana dip to $90 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+316.7%+$182.4
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$33
Will BNB reach $1000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$495
Will Solana reach $160 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33.6%+$50.25
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$22.88
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 January 26-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$146
Will Solana reach $140 January 19-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+27.7%+$61.71
Will Solana dip to $120 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 January 19-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$112
Will XRP dip to $2.00 January 12-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$128
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 12-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+40.8%+$29
Will XRP reach $2.50 January 5-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+25.2%+$40.2
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 January 5-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+51.5%+$34
Will Ethereum dip to $2,900 January 5-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+28.2%+$110
Showing 25 of 112 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT6355.6%35 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.27
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.66
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$40.45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$3,388.46
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$686.4
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.34
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.93
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$114.82
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.4
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+1,224%+$513.94
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$490
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.4
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+300%+$1,125
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$793Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+544.7%+$4,319.44
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$290
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,736Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,736.44
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.16
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.15
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$169
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,736Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$1,417.93
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+112.6%+$457.22
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+54%+$154.01
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,580
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,882Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,881.9
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$38.5
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$7,739Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$4,060.92
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.1
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+621%+$86.13
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$81
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
All 21 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$276
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$345
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.99
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$389.01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$96
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$146
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+40.7%+$333.74
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,475-$4,600 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$4,725 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$19.85
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$70 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+29%+$94.66
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,000 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+78%+$203.15
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,200 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+30.3%+$39.19
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$104.44
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$393.01
Silver (SI) Up or Down on December 23?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$105
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-41.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 21–24%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$17.02
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 30–33%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$51.63
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 27–30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$67.9
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 33–36%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$122.39
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 60% and 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$47.99
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$371.66
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+426.3%+$121.5
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-39.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$284
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.5
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$3,116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,115.91
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,450Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,049.99
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+115.6%+$400.22
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$603Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$153.47
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11.82
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$24.64
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+71.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,843Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+47%+$1,805.9
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$662Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$454.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+53%+$34.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+26.6%+$26.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$202.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on November 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$82.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.