TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,279,638
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,032,692

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,279,638 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 967 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes11c219,380$24,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,138.638,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c4c…7727backed Yes7c122,085$8,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,572.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3a8…a539backed Yes0c108,819$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-78.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2af9…513cbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001010%1 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick6cpaid-41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes1c91,933$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.721705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes9c65,211$6,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,059.9638734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0df…69c5backed Yes10c60,943$6,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,316.474025%10 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes2c58,887$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.8279231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes11c58,755$6,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,574.12,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes10c50,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.9742345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes10c47,980$4,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7981,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0162…f21cbacked Yes0c44,643$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.471428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-40.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes4c36,324$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.992,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf755…88b2backed Yes1c34,650$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.78520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-58.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16dc…adeebacked Yes4c33,577$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.0560%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f75…ce35backed Yes1c33,476$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.1921439.7%85 W · 129 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa5…2aa1backed Yes8c32,597$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+137.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes10c30,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.9816244.4%72 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes10c27,629$2,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,762.911,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8de…3111backed Yes1c26,750$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1559515.8%15 W · 80 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes10c26,597$2,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,659.7446536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa93b…425bbacked Yes11c26,349$2,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,898.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes11c25,011$2,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,747.899142.9%39 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes11c24,677$2,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,714.4735549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccc8…e61cbacked Yes11c22,218$2,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,444719.9%7 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-44.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e9…cd29backed Yes1c21,379$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.792412.5%3 W · 21 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes0c20,653$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.881,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…c6fdbacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20350%0 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes2c18,970$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.5632031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e79…af9ebacked Yes0c17,000$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5684…9448backed Yes7c16,191$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8be4…b795backed Yes11c15,618$1,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7186633.3%22 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d6…966bbacked Yes2c15,294$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.63434.7%2 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick4cpaid-77%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes11c15,095$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,660.451,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c8…fd11backed Yes8c14,086$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.9825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-50.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18f0…3d5ebacked Yes0c14,007$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.286622.7%15 W · 51 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes10c12,242$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.352,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6db…cdd2backed Yes0c12,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221458.3%12 W · 133 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid+28.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26b1…6343backed Yes1c10,635$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902119%4 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-57%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Yes0c10,300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…3251backed Yes0c10,136$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid-15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3284…0673backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-48.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ba…98acbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7248…cb88backed Yes8c9,708$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.212931%9 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes11c9,634$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.5973626.5%195 W · 541 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Yes11c9,091$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008214.6%12 W · 70 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa65…908bbacked Yes11c9,091$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000100%0 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41c4…3c7cbacked Yes1c9,001$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes10c9,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90040239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes10c8,905$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.531945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Yes11c8,123$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.522737%10 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-37.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes1c8,000$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5614715.6%23 W · 124 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe708…c3aabacked Yes11c7,990$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.934112.2%5 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf393…9b65backed Yes2c7,828$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.2210624.5%26 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2759…68f5backed Yes3c7,178$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.8730%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91d8…9e8dbacked Yes7c6,785$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.550146.1%231 W · 270 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b1b…d9d5backed Yes11c6,364$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-69.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0228…a700backed Yes7c6,061$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb1…e3bcbacked Yes2c6,010$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick13cpaid+48.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e69…a4b5backed Yes11c5,624$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.672729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes11c5,448$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.2460511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc1e…d356backed Yes3c5,170$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1722133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfae5…0ddcbacked Yes0c5,130$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232015%3 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Yes11c5,036$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.9551315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked Yes10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010740.2%43 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x901b…05ddbacked Yes11c4,773$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed Yes11c4,548$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.2823230.2%70 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb429…baf9backed Yes11c4,545$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59f6…b4e7backed Yes1c4,542$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32f…b708backed Yes2c4,396$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.11922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a21…8879backed Yes11c4,266$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Yes10c4,180$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.97922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+54.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Yes10c4,169$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.9214055.7%78 W · 62 L+15.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+22.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed Yes3c4,018$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9521738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4631…3ff9backed Yes1c4,000$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick4cpaid+220.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38d6…4791backed Yes11c4,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes10c4,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40021542.8%92 W · 123 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes12c4,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.984630.4%14 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d8c…b28cbacked Yes1c3,926$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-54.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes2c3,886$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.724,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes10c3,754$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.3955045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes10c3,699$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.931,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3354…2f13backed Yes3c3,525$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.58728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes2c3,505$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6558530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f25…4f11backed Yes11c3,404$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.473158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d0d…4a99backed Yes11c3,358$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.411717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-51.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb918…0e85backed Yes3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90d4…c7c8backed Yes3c3,223$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4816141.6%67 W · 94 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7243…942abacked Yes10c3,138$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.167742.9%33 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d55…4b28backed Yes10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79a6…577bbacked Yes1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302433.3%8 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+59.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Yes1c2,857$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205516.4%9 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8733…5460backed Yes4c2,857$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102849.5%8 W · 76 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8227…013dbacked Yes8c2,850$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2406328.6%18 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-50.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xddfb…62febacked Yes11c2,727$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%0 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34f4…16bdbacked Yes4c2,655$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10080%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43fc…07bebacked Yes6c2,635$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15060%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3328…1b67backed Yes1c2,595$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick6cpaid+41.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes8c2,500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20552522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.