Fifa International · resolved market
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17dfc75726fa95d4054d91e80295c8b3e494569617e67a7e620e27562b7952b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,279,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,032,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,279,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 967 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 219,380$24,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,138.63 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4c…7727backed Yes | 7c | 122,085$8,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,572.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a8…a539backed Yes | 0c | 108,819$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…513cbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 91,933$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.72 | 170 | 5.9%10 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 9c | 65,211$6,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,059.96 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0df…69c5backed Yes | 10c | 60,943$6,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,316.47 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 2c | 58,887$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.82 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 11c | 58,755$6,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,574.1 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 10c | 50,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.97 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 10c | 47,980$4,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,798 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0162…f21cbacked Yes | 0c | 44,643$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 4c | 36,324$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.99 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf755…88b2backed Yes | 1c | 34,650$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16dc…adeebacked Yes | 4c | 33,577$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.05 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Yes | 1c | 33,476$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.19 | 214 | 39.7%85 W · 129 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa5…2aa1backed Yes | 8c | 32,597$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 10c | 30,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.98 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 10c | 27,629$2,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,762.91 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8de…3111backed Yes | 1c | 26,750$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 10c | 26,597$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.74 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93b…425bbacked Yes | 11c | 26,349$2,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,898.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes | 11c | 25,011$2,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,747.89 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 11c | 24,677$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.47 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc8…e61cbacked Yes | 11c | 22,218$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444 | 71 | 9.9%7 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…cd29backed Yes | 1c | 21,379$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.79 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 0c | 20,653$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.88 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…c6fdbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 0%0 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 2c | 18,970$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.56 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…af9ebacked Yes | 0c | 17,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5684…9448backed Yes | 7c | 16,191$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…b795backed Yes | 11c | 15,618$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…966bbacked Yes | 2c | 15,294$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.63 | 43 | 4.7%2 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -77%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 11c | 15,095$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.45 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…fd11backed Yes | 8c | 14,086$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…3d5ebacked Yes | 0c | 14,007$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 10c | 12,242$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.35 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6db…cdd2backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…6343backed Yes | 1c | 10,635$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -57%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Yes | 0c | 10,300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…3251backed Yes | 0c | 10,136$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3284…0673backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…98acbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…cb88backed Yes | 8c | 9,708$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.21 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes | 11c | 9,634$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.59 | 736 | 26.5%195 W · 541 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Yes | 11c | 9,091$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 82 | 14.6%12 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa65…908bbacked Yes | 11c | 9,091$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c4…3c7cbacked Yes | 1c | 9,001$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 10c | 9,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 10c | 8,905$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.5 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Yes | 11c | 8,123$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.52 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 1c | 8,000$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 147 | 15.6%23 W · 124 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe708…c3aabacked Yes | 11c | 7,990$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.93 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed Yes | 2c | 7,828$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.22 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…68f5backed Yes | 3c | 7,178$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked Yes | 7c | 6,785$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.5 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1b…d9d5backed Yes | 11c | 6,364$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0228…a700backed Yes | 7c | 6,061$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb1…e3bcbacked Yes | 2c | 6,010$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 13cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e69…a4b5backed Yes | 11c | 5,624$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.67 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 11c | 5,448$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.24 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1e…d356backed Yes | 3c | 5,170$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…0ddcbacked Yes | 0c | 5,130$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Yes | 11c | 5,036$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.95 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…05ddbacked Yes | 11c | 4,773$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…43f7backed Yes | 11c | 4,548$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.28 | 232 | 30.2%70 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb429…baf9backed Yes | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f6…b4e7backed Yes | 1c | 4,542$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…b708backed Yes | 2c | 4,396$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…8879backed Yes | 11c | 4,266$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Yes | 10c | 4,180$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.97 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Yes | 10c | 4,169$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.92 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +15.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…8451backed Yes | 3c | 4,018$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.95 | 217 | 38.7%84 W · 133 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4631…3ff9backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 4cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…4791backed Yes | 11c | 4,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.98 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8c…b28cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,926$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 2c | 3,886$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.72 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 10c | 3,754$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.39 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 10c | 3,699$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.93 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…2f13backed Yes | 3c | 3,525$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 2c | 3,505$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.65 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f25…4f11backed Yes | 11c | 3,404$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.47 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0d…4a99backed Yes | 11c | 3,358$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.41 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb918…0e85backed Yes | 3c | 3,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…c7c8backed Yes | 3c | 3,223$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.48 | 161 | 41.6%67 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…942abacked Yes | 10c | 3,138$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.16 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…4b28backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79a6…577bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,857$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8733…5460backed Yes | 4c | 2,857$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 84 | 9.5%8 W · 76 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…013dbacked Yes | 8c | 2,850$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…62febacked Yes | 11c | 2,727$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34f4…16bdbacked Yes | 4c | 2,655$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fc…07bebacked Yes | 6c | 2,635$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3328…1b67backed Yes | 1c | 2,595$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 6cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?this page
- Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?No won
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.