TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7c9e…db3d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,242
Categories scored
41
Categories below 50
33

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AIlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1502.7%4 W · 146 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-49.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 150 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.84
Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.49
Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?backed Anthropic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.59
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.12
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $32.5B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.43
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.83
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.17
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $210B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.44
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $185B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.06
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.29
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.65
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.47
Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.71
Will Waymo launch in New York City by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.93
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.25
Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.58
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Will Baidu have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.84
Will Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.17
Showing 25 of 150 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1494.7%7 W · 142 L+0.3wins0.00per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 149 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.43
Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.02
Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the July Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.24
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.45
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.24
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.98
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
Will Our Country (ND) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.31
Will the Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.63
Will The Left (Levica) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
Will Union Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.96
Will Denmark Democrats be part of the next Government of Denmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.85
Will Liberal Alliance be part of the next Government of Denmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.93
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Will Yoo Seong-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
Showing 25 of 149 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1466.2%9 W · 137 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 146 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.65
Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.31
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.19
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.19
Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.11
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.23
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.78
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.07
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.83
Hillary Clinton charged by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.34
Les Wexner arrested by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 20-23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.03
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 16-19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.74
Will "The Epstein Files" reach #1 on Apple Podcast by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.72
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.29
Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.1
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.6
Will Chris Wright be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Susie Wiles be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21.8
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.11
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30.11
Bill Clinton charged by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Showing 25 of 146 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1332.3%3 W · 130 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-76.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 133 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will JD Vance attend NATO Summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.39
Kurds declare independence from Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.97
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.19
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.72
Will Qatar recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.29
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.18
Will Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Tucker Carlson federally charged?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.34
Will Malaysia recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.82
Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.02
Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.72
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.85
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.19
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.86
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.99
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$209
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.72
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Showing 25 of 133 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1041%1 W · 103 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-88.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 104 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexandra Van Cleef be the Republican nominee for FL-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.62
Will Mike Rogers win the Republican Primary for U.S. Senate in Michigan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Will Sharice Davids be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.57
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.37
Will Jason Miyares be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
Will Chuck Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.55
Will Andy Biggs win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Will John Trobough be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Will Chad Bianco finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Orange County?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.1
Will Karen Breslin be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.61
Will Mark Baisley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Colorado?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.93
Will Randall Arrington be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.56
Will Matt Miller be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.55
Will Oscar Romero be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Will Jack Ellison be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.69
Will Ritchie Torres be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.22
Will Dalourny Nemorin be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.76
Will Frank Lucas be the Republican nominee for OK-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.93
Will Kevin Hern be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.86
Will Wade Burleson be the Republican nominee for OK-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.03
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.91
Will Trevor Merrell advance from the CA-04 primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.31
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.97
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 104 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT752.7%2 W · 73 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-75.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.49
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.01
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.19
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.37
Will Russia enter Svitle by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the April Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
Will Spain join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.04
Will China join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.14
Will the Netherlands join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.84
Will Palestine join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.14
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.75
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the February Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.51
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$93.74
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.63
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.28
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.58
Ukraine strike on Moscow municipality by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.68
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.97
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT482.1%1 W · 47 L0.0wins0.00per pick2cpaid-93.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.39
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.3
Will Solana dip to $50 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.42
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.53
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.74
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.69
Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.75
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.15
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.55
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.16
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.04
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.19
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.74
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.01
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.91
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.6
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT472.1%1 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-78%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.32
Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.77
James Norton announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.58
Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.39
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.37
Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.12
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.09
Theo James announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.73
Will Elliot die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Will Lexi Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.13
Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.34
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.03
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 10)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.84
Will Sydney Sweeney win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.64
Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.7
Will Sean Bean be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Thomasin McKenzie be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16.74
Will Samantha Morton be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.22
Will Colin Farrell be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Matthew McConaughey be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.36
Will Takehiro Hira be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22.14
Will Ayo Edebiri be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Chase Infiniti be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$29.8
Will Rental Family be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Token Launcheslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT427.1%3 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+43.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aligned FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.23
Squid FDV above $400M one day after launchbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
USD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.17
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.78
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+1,710.3%+$198.4
Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$31.62
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15.72
Infinex FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Over $40M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.56
Will Solstice launch a token by December 31 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.82
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.85
Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $300k in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.57
Will Phantom launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55.01
Will USD.AI launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.82
Rainbow FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.96
Will Infinex launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.47
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10.58
Lighter Airdrop on December 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$13.34
Over $600M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20.68
Lighter Airdrop on December 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.36
HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$21.14
Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12.3
Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$56.69
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$16.6
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT378.1%3 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.45
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.92
Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.28
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+1,712.2%+$273.05
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.57
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.38
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.27
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.94
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.18
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.03
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.76
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.3
Will Iran strike Burj Khalifa by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.83
Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.11
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.95
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT350%0 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tems perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.27
Will Maluma perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.01
Will Rauw Alejandro perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.88
Will Daddy Yankee perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.54
Will J Balvin perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.36
Will Wizkid perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.21
Will Karol G perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.12
Will Kendrick Lamar perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Bruno Mars perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.36
Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.75
Will Camila Cabello perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.58
Will Billie Eilish perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will SZA perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.14
Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.42
Will Ozuna perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.59
Will Ariana Grande perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.71
Will David Guetta perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.49
Will Anuel AA perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.89
Will Myke Towers perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.07
Will Nicki Minaj perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.56
Will Sam Smith perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.35
Will Cardi B perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Rosalía perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will Rihanna perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.53
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT340%0 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.28
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.12
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.87
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.67
Will Stripe’s market cap be between $120B and $140B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.15
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.57
Will Stripe’s market cap be between $80B and $100B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.12
Will Stripe’s market cap be between $100B and $120B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.98
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.45
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.56
Will Encore Medical’s market cap be greater than $55M at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.78
Will Encore Medical not IPO before June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.7
Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.14
Will ARKO Petroleum Corp.'s market cap be between $750M and $800M at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.32
Will SpyGlass Pharma, Inc.'s market cap be less than $450M at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.09
Anduril IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.19
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT320%0 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 5% and 6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.38
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 5% on any day in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Will Netflix dip to $70 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Apple dip to $232 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$18.33
Will Netflix reach $105 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20.52
Will Opendoor reach $11.50 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$12.03
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $530 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$11.25
Will Amazon (AMZN) hit $190 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.64
Will Netflix (NFLX) hit $125 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.23
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $375 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.62
Will Tesla (TSLA) hit $315 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.29
Will Apple (AAPL) hit $245 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.05
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.81
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.39
Will Microsoft (MSFT) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.61
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$115 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$17.24
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $195–200 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$13.02
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at >$220 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12.51
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$14.04
Will Airbnb reach $168 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$16.42
Will NVIDIA reach $288 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$13.75
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 end of November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.23
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $240 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14.1
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $290 end of November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.1
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $615 end of November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12.59
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT310%0 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will D.K. Metcalf be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.01
Will John Stanton buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.53
Will Macklemore (Benjamin Hammond Haggerty) buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.35
Will Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.06
Will Tim Cook buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.97
Will Mark Zuckerberg buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.13
Will Marshawn Lynch buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.38
Will LeBron James buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Steve Ballmer buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Larry Ellison buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.87
Will Kirk Cousins play for Atlanta Falcons in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Stefon Diggs in jail by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$38.58
Will Olivia Rodrigo perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$61.21
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$31.8
Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$77.55
Will Dua Lipa perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$24.94
Will Miley Cyrus perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.86
Will Adele perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.69
Will Billie Eilish perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.72
Will Post Malone perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$57.9
Will Baker Mayfield win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.51
Will TreVeyon Henderson be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.19
Will Brian Flores be the next Giants Head Coach?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.49
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT234.3%1 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-93.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.03
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.18
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.97
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.24
Will Trump announce Stephen Miran to replace Lisa Cook?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.22
Will Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.86
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.07
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett to replace Lisa Cook?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.28
Will Trump announce David Malpass to replace Lisa Cook?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.25
Will Trump announce Chris Waller to replace Lisa Cook?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.5%+$4.47
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$54.81
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$41.1
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$98.4
Fed Derivative: "No Change" flips "25bps cut" by December 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$22.54
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.71
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.99
Will the Fed cut-pause-pause in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.43
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.2
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.38
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.87
All 23 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT210%0 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.03
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Will Kanye West have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.94
Will Justin Bieber drop out as a Coachella 2026 Headliner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.61
Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.16
Will Octane by Don Toliver be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$21.91
Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Frank Ocean release an album in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.55
Will Drake's next album debut No.1 on Billboard 200?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.1
Will a Justin Bieber song reach #1 this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Will DtMF by Bad Bunny be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$18.48
Will The Fate of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$21.5
Will EoO by Bad Bunny be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11.35
Will VOY A LLeVARTE PA PR by Bad Bunny be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14.56
Will DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny be the top Spotify album for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$32.82
Will Bad Bunny be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12.54
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$18.04
Will Ordinary (Alex Warren) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$21.6
Will Drake release an album by October 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.56
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.71
All 21 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT205%1 W · 19 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.47
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.55
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
Will the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be at least 15m square kilometers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Will the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14.2m & 14.4m square kilometers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.59
Will December 2025 be the 2nd hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.53
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.67
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.43
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.79
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.67
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$27.51
Will between 16 and 19 named storms occur in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$40.1
Cat 3+ hurricane hits Miami in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$31.56
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in September 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$17.95
2025 September second hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+1,280%+$292.17
2025 September 4th or lower hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14.84
Megaquake by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.6
Will global temperature increase by between 0.95-0.99ºC in June 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.1
2025 June hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
All 20 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$27.84
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+1,150%+$184
Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$39.36
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$41.69
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15.58
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$22.73
Will a dozen eggs be above $4.50 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will a dozen eggs be below $3.00 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will a dozen eggs be between $4.25-4.50 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.09
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.00-3.25 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% or less in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.51
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.24
All 13 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT120%0 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.59
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.87
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.88
Will Meta acquire TikTok?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.85
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.25
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$475.19
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 35% on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.24
Will Japanese PM apologize for China comments in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.93
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$132.16
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.32
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.94
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick4cpaid+225.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a team from LCS (North America) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.94
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.65
Will Gen.G make a roster change before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.02
Will T1 make a roster change before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.73
Will GenG qualify to MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,374.7%+$275.44
Will Conviction win NACL 2026 Spring?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+2,008.7%+$483.98
Will Winthrop University win NACL 2026 Spring?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.75
Will BNK FEARX qualify to MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.83
Will Fukuoka SoftBank HAWKS gaming win LCP 2026 Split 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Will GIANTX qualify for EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.15
Will Team Vitality qualify for EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.35
All 11 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid+153.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$22.54
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+2,183.6%+$567.46
Will any other driver finish fourth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13.4
Will Ferrari finish third in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will George Russell finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20.2
Will Charles Leclerc finish fourth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$38.85
Will Lewis Hamilton finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Max Verstappen finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16.37
Will Lewis Hamilton finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.17
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.12
Will JJ Redick win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.86
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.58
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$36.67
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Los Angeles Lakers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.73
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.52
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Knicks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.59
Will LeBron James be traded this offseason?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.93
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST70%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Texas Tech win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Wimbledon: Bencic vs. Swiatek (W) backed Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will REKONIX win Blast Slam VI? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Darren Fletcher be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Montpellier HSC achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.