Movies · resolved market

Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5d230091776f415f0a847a0bcab2d5a9668b6c35b0e7bfe1543bea6dc124164

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 22, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $66,599
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $49,640

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,599 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Movies
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5b30…29a4backed Yes	25c	6,414$1,604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,603.5	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Yes	21c	5,125$1,079 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,078.6	178	21.3%38 W · 140 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc363…9fd8backed Yes	50c	4,413$2,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,185.44	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes	9c	3,940$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.69	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	+4.0wins	+0.10per pick	28cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No	68c	2,942$2,011 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$931.27	299	26.4%79 W · 220 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8393…f0aebacked Yes	54c	2,245$1,201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,201.06	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes	5c	2,098$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.97	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes	2c	1,829$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.36	111	4.5%5 W · 106 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd6c…a568backed Yes	22c	1,400$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	40cpaid	+42%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes	38c	1,394$523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$523.13	506	33.4%169 W · 337 L	-30.0wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6aa7…5455backed No	55c	1,235$678 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$556.7	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed82…0954backed Yes	1c	1,071$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x520d…babebacked No	63c	899.46$571 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$328.44	113	52.2%59 W · 54 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa099…d81fbacked Yes	9c	812$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.08	43	16.3%7 W · 36 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-65%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26a9…f6b7backed No	67c	729.7$492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.5	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+51.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed No	80c	698.57$556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.53	137	40.1%55 W · 82 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82a0…14b3backed Yes	23c	621.16$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.57	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes	46c	589.71$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.07	237	41.4%98 W · 139 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No	59c	536$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.5	237	51.9%123 W · 114 L	+16.9wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	534.34$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.86	1,394	8%111 W · 1,283 L	-47.9wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5567…aeedbacked No	64c	407.09$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.6	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	62c	403.3$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.34	156	41.7%65 W · 91 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d4…ac0dbacked No	51c	400$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197	170	41.8%71 W · 99 L	+10.8wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93c0…b919backed Yes	27c	394$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.38	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	-7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	7c	391.69$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.28	204	2.9%6 W · 198 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	5c	361.34$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.07	116	4.3%5 W · 111 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	68c	338.1$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.09	672	32%215 W · 457 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-30%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e79…e974backed Yes	27c	312$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.24	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	4c	311.56$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.45	154	9.7%15 W · 139 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22eb…ad17backed Yes	22c	308.23$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	69	55.1%38 W · 31 L	+5.8wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+34%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes	25c	302.92$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	157	39.5%62 W · 95 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c3…7dd2backed Yes	17c	301$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.15	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+101.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6891…1146backed No	73c	298$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.46	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes	7c	285.25$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.25	67	4.5%3 W · 64 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x667f…8c3ebacked Yes	20c	277$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.4	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dcb…68eebacked Yes	18c	276.98$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.09	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54d5…b5cebacked Yes	35c	255$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.25	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x466e…ed99backed No	73c	254$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.58	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed Yes	18c	247$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.37	48	27.1%13 W · 35 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Yes	49c	232.35$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.85	146	28.1%41 W · 105 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x742c…acc0backed Yes	14c	232.35$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.36	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed Yes	4c	229.45$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	51	19.6%10 W · 41 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cc8…05b5backed Yes	55c	225$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	34	73.5%25 W · 9 L	+4.4wins	+0.13per pick	61cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a5a…779cbacked No	65c	217$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.95	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes	7c	214$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.7	47	2.1%1 W · 46 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-78%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa5…8f79backed Yes	44c	209.53$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.47	74	50%37 W · 37 L	+4.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf28f…0327backed Yes	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0845…c4edbacked No	69c	201$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.31	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed No	78c	200$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	62	29%18 W · 44 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcef…7388backed Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	5cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2034…8daebacked Yes	22c	200$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	+3.4wins	+0.09per pick	27cpaid	+24%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	66	6.1%4 W · 62 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes	38c	192.87$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.24	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed No	50c	190.92$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.52	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e0d…9989backed Yes	56c	178.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	73c	168.56$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.87	365	38.1%139 W · 226 L	-19.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe43…af79backed No	80c	168$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.6	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+51%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	7c	164$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	278	1.8%5 W · 273 L	-9.2wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9a…cc24backed Yes	25c	154$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.5	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f4…c3c5backed No	67c	150$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.5	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.29per pick	43cpaid	+48.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Yes	27c	148.15$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+3.3wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd570…b90abacked Yes	41c	147.37$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Yes	24c	138.52$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.88	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes	39c	137$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.93	184	44%81 W · 103 L	+7.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab1c…35a7backed Yes	20c	136.17$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.59	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes	13c	131.58$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.08	131	35.1%46 W · 85 L	-14.0wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed No	63c	129$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.73	97	53.6%52 W · 45 L	+5.5wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1056…5b18backed No	73c	128$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.56	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5056…f991backed Yes	27c	123$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.21	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed No	73c	120$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f0…669dbacked No	65c	119$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.65	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x253f…e642backed No	73c	117$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.59	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a1…c98abacked No	77c	110.97$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.57	80	30%24 W · 56 L	-9.2wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xecb6…cfe8backed No	73c	110$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.7	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.9wins	+0.26per pick	46cpaid	+88.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x098f…47cdbacked No	74c	108$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.8	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c6e…ccc7backed Yes	34c	106.55$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.16	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.18per pick	30cpaid	-79.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	20c	105$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	60	15%9 W · 51 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes	19c	103.47$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.08	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2795…6811backed No	75c	100$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4033…78f8backed Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1862…9f15backed Yes	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a94…7154backed Yes	20c	89$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.8	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda7f…c93dbacked No	80c	89$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.8	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+3.3wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x72ab…1a3ebacked No	78c	88$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.68	136	50%68 W · 68 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb132…6943backed Yes	17c	84.01$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.28	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+39.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4348…fa2abacked No	73c	81$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.87	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.13per pick	56cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes	35c	79.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+48.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ab0…1b0bbacked No	66c	77.84$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.47	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb5b…e8dfbacked No	65c	76.94$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.94	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-15%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9d9…bacbbacked Yes	27c	76$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.52	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+4.5wins	+0.15per pick	42cpaid	+87.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5243…a73cbacked No	80c	71$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.2	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed No	80c	65$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	162	37.7%61 W · 101 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1587…901abacked Yes	25c	65$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.25	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-24%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeac…95c6backed No	75c	65$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.25	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1747…3b00backed Yes	30c	64.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.47	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+5.0wins	+0.13per pick	42cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x91be…2641backed Yes	35c	64$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-38%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb017…1fd6backed Yes	34c	59.59$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.28per pick	39cpaid	+225.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x336f…c31ebacked Yes	22c	56$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.32	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x993f…35cbbacked No	52c	55$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.15	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1ea6…32d9backed Yes	35c	55$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.25	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-2.7wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
Will Chase Infiniti win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Elle Fanning win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Emily Blunt win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Glenn Close win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Gwyneth Paltrow win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Jennifer Lopez win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Mari Yamamoto win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Odessa A'zion win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Rebecca Ferguson win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event