TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdc9a…cc24

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Weather, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.89
Will "Hamnet" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.68
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.86
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$36.96
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$18.27
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$18.85
Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$38.5
Will George Clooney be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.95
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$66.74
Will In Your Dreams be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$47.85
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25.38
Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.58
Will Jay Kelly be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$32.9
Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$124.12
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+35.1%+$29.12
Will Douglas Aibel & Nina Gold (Jay Kelly) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10.92
Will Orwell: 2+2=5 be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+42.9%+$21.6
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.7wins-0.25per pick51cpaid-61.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.04
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$16.12
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.48
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.06
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.02
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.32
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$179.44
Will Cason Wallace lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$23.24
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.15
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.24
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.3
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.15
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.3
Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.56
Will Justin Bieber attend the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+35.1%+$131.56
Will LaMelo Ball be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$28.08
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.79
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$32.33
Will the Phoenix Suns win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$34.24
All 19 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.59
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.11
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$636.65
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$320.16
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$325.12
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$393.6
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$56.76
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.46
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.26
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$49.59
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.8
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$25.19
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$18.43
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$20.01
Will Paramount acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+64.8%+$29.11
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.73
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$277.59
Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$280.44
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.72
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.6
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$83.19
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+132.6%+$475.38
Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$43.16
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$43.38
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+101.6%+$23.69
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$32.13
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20.06
All 13 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+81.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$501.12
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+418.1%+$671.42
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.74
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$119.8
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$248.2
Will there be at least 1,250 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.3
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+51.5%+$159.12
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+61.3%+$126.16
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+244.8%+$59.64
Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$86.19
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+244.8%+$146.97
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$17.34
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+68.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$115.24
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+284.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$878Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$358.73
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$305.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jayden Schaper win the DP AfrAsia Bank Mauritius Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+455.6%+$46.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tulane make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+194.1%+$45.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$26.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Reid Hoffman be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monaco advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$113.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria win on 2026-03-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$943Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$942.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.