Music · resolved market
Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x881df4c76e228f2938f018cbd7ec834838ce8bdabda52a7abd98d06d0e13d6f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7155…d866backed No | 22c | 2,809$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…00acbacked No | 22c | 2,612$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e4f3backed No | 3c | 1,633$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabeb…7a78backed Yes | 78c | 1,377$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…68cabacked Yes | 78c | 1,286$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9774…6d3cbacked Yes | 78c | 1,279$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +199.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…00e6backed Yes | 78c | 1,262$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…8e46backed No | 26c | 1,188$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…1f84backed Yes | 74c | 1,128$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…6d54backed No | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 1c | 999.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…b750backed Yes | 74c | 990$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -73%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…a152backed Yes | 78c | 899$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…72f1backed No | 26c | 872$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f2…2badbacked No | 22c | 870$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…5f6abacked No | 22c | 863$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca3…9546backed Yes | 78c | 844$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +418.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed Yes | 74c | 839$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked No | 26c | 835$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a54…db64backed Yes | 74c | 825$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bc…43e9backed No | 26c | 817$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…2238backed No | 22c | 801$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…1307backed Yes | 78c | 791$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…a498backed Yes | 74c | 759$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d09…42b7backed No | 26c | 739$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c1…6512backed No | 26c | 736$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4faa…fecfbacked Yes | 74c | 713$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…395ebacked No | 26c | 684$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b7…d913backed No | 26c | 648$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…7a33backed No | 26c | 635$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed No | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked Yes | 74c | 584$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8132…a491backed Yes | 74c | 567$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 23c | 559.25$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.44 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…89d8backed Yes | 74c | 556$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed Yes | 67c | 551.17$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.15 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…4c23backed Yes | 78c | 518$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.96 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…0051backed No | 22c | 518$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…e974backed Yes | 74c | 483$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9a…cc24backed No | 22c | 369$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…3b33backed Yes | 78c | 369$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5c…4568backed Yes | 74c | 368.55$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 10c | 338.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 17c | 281.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…d9fcbacked No | 26c | 261$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…5558backed No | 26c | 254$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked No | 22c | 253$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…cb02backed No | 26c | 229$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 34c | 216.17$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x779d…695bbacked Yes | 76c | 214.29$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked No | 5c | 211.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +276.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 29c | 210$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…a48fbacked Yes | 74c | 198$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 22c | 184.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdece…08dbbacked Yes | 78c | 170$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6388…f668backed Yes | 74c | 152$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9757…2cf4backed No | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…cb87backed No | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bd…4d4cbacked Yes | 74c | 104$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…1a9bbacked No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2566…7d60backed Yes | 74c | 92$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5e…332ebacked No | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 34c | 88.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 78c | 85.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…ca08backed No | 22c | 80.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed No | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 14c | 72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 77 | 10.4%8 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…283bbacked No | 22c | 71.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 25c | 60.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…4916backed Yes | 77c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…faccbacked No | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x937f…2ca0backed Yes | 72c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…ff3bbacked Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x905d…2c17backed No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3406…6ce0backed Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff44…fa58backed Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -73%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…b2efbacked Yes | 78c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df6…0f0fbacked No | 26c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1832…af9ebacked No | 26c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed No | 26c | 39.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…02ddbacked Yes | 76c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…6eadbacked Yes | 73c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…c0a8backed Yes | 77c | 21.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?this page
- Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by March 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.