TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5e79…e974

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
123
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$291.4
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.63
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$161.28
Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.06
Will "Tyler Perry's Joe's College Road Trip" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+92.3%+$36.48
Will "Wuthering Heights" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 18m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$19.92
Will "Frankenstein" win Best Costume Design at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$111.25
Will Sorry, Baby win Best Screenplay at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+257.1%+$340.56
Will Liz Patrick - SNL50: The Anniversary Special win Best Director of Variety at the 78th DGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$23.97
Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$84.24
Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$164.7
Will Jafar Panahi be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$68.4
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+64%+$84.29
Will Little Amélie or the Character of Rain be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+35.1%+$82.68
Will Jay Kelly be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$39.69
Will Marty Supreme be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$23.16
Will Good Hang with Amy Poehler win Best Podcast at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$253.2
Will Orwell: 2+2=5 be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+42.9%+$101.4
Will "My Secret Santa" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (December 9, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$24.01
All 20 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.32
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.4
Will Seattle have between 6 and 7 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.84
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.56
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+105.4%+$441.22
Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$28.08
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$183.87
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+233.3%+$441
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$317.24
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 70 and 80?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+354.5%+$196.56
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$26.88
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$218.25
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+61.8%+$166.17
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+75.4%+$99.76
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+47.5%+$7.08
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+177.8%+$110.08
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+36%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$301.04
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$15.12
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.61
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.75
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$39.27
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$304.64
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+244.8%+$159.04
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.36
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$29.4
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$59.64
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$348.68
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+78.6%+$216.92
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$133.2
Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$81.09
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+128.1%+$103.34
All 15 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+78.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$791Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$791.26
Will Craig Federighi be the next CEO of Apple?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$22.89
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$1,231.76
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.67
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.68
Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.27
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$442.27
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$861.52
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$95.42
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.35 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$826Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+25%+$206.4
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+178.2%+$185.13
Will Jensen Huang say "Lidar" during NVIDIA keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+122.2%+$378.95
Will Jensen Huang say "TSMC" during NVIDIA keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$213.36
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$254.32
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.42
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$37.44
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.85
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$419.75
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$180.5
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$155.77
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.84
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+40.8%+$84.39
Will Trae Young be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$82
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+74.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+176.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-68.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+119.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$44.73
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+212.5%+$486.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$119.13
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$28.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$270.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Miami Florida make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+270.4%+$38.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$134.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will two people dissent the April Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$528.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$62.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+31.8%+$45.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.