TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Chappell Roan perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,249
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,202

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,249 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4295…d464backed Yes7c5,090$356 inLost-$356.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick15cpaid+127.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ab…d0a0backed Yes11c1,345$148 inLost-$147.95825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-60.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a79…1ccbbacked Yes11c1,148$126 inLost-$126.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea90…0f8fbacked Yes11c746$82 inLost-$82.06650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick34cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e79…e974backed Yes11c705$78 inLost-$77.55450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb47e…c824backed Yes11c682$75 inLost-$75.0240%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0caf…e065backed Yes11c543$60 inLost-$59.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c55…8adebacked Yes11c391$43 inLost-$43.0130%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3734…01a3backed Yes11c336$37 inLost-$36.961154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x486b…3ea7backed Yes11c333$37 inLost-$36.63520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-57.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d23…aa07backed Yes11c322$35 inLost-$35.42933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d7c…a11bbacked Yes11c265$29 inLost-$29.15425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-63.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe17…98e9backed No75c68.66$52 inWon+$16.831250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes41c49.7$21 inLost-$20.619844.9%44 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No36c30.97$11 inWon+$19.916250.6%82 W · 80 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.