TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will SZA perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,682
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,647

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,682 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd569…3037backed No76c816$620 inWon+$195.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10df…04a9backed Yes3c750$23 inLost-$22.5450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+92%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5383…88f0backed Yes24c726$174 inLost-$174.24862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3734…01a3backed Yes13c572$74 inLost-$74.361154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaec9…3213backed Yes14c424$59 inLost-$59.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e36…2479backed Yes13c408$53 inLost-$53.04633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-48.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8737…2bffbacked Yes14c298$42 inLost-$41.72616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-77.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5f…81c0backed Yes13c179$23 inLost-$23.27333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…6beabacked Yes13c170$22 inLost-$22.130%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No24c50$12 inWon+$389844.9%44 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe17…98e9backed No73c20$15 inWon+$5.41250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.