TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Addison Rae perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,148
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,712

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,148 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x912f…7604backed No79c1,333$1,053 inLost-$1,053.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98c7…455cbacked Yes21c1,333$280 inWon+$1,053.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked No2c612.3$14 inLost-$13.623228.1%9 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick21cpaid-7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes13c512.01$65 inWon+$447.16139.3%24 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bb8…69edbacked No7c251.39$18 inLost-$17.630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9706…2e00backed Yes64c202.91$130 inWon+$72.911457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa11b…f663backed No56c90$51 inLost-$50.81933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8975…ffe6backed Yes57c53.87$31 inWon+$23.194875%36 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No41c44.8$19 inLost-$18.543342.4%14 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac8c…415cbacked No44c40.27$18 inLost-$17.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.