TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,100
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,746

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,100 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc684…2228backed No71c15,304$10,906 inLost-$10,906.276746.3%31 W · 36 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fbb…42d9backed Yes28c6,857$1,901 inWon+$4,956.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+260.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No76c5,378$4,064 inLost-$4,064.0316250.6%82 W · 80 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes30c4,400$1,340 inWon+$3,0603138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92a6…8b84backed Yes29c3,452$994 inWon+$2,457.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+247.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe598…a0a8backed Yes28c2,794$778 inWon+$2,016.22425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9951…11bdbacked Yes21c957.14$201 inWon+$756.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aeb…2729backed Yes25c499.99$126 inWon+$373.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7add…f9f4backed No17c288.71$50 inLost-$49.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes5c265$13 inWon+$251.755311.3%6 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-24.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10df…04a9backed Yes21c229.99$48 inWon+$181.99450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+92%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes16c219.61$36 inWon+$183.7939116.1%63 W · 328 L-44.4wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-48.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Yes23c200$46 inWon+$154.52544%11 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe166…f773backed Yes70c200$140 inWon+$60.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes6c177.3$11 inWon+$166.094629.7%45 W · 417 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-42.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9706…2e00backed Yes25c167.87$42 inWon+$125.861457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8196…ab69backed Yes38c150$57 inWon+$93450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+50.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3056…c3c9backed Yes22c120$27 inWon+$93.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+192.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9551…8c45backed No71c72.7$52 inLost-$51.92728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.40per pick69cpaid-59%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa178…2112backed No33c71.41$24 inLost-$23.572295.5%21 W · 1 L+6.9wins+0.31per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes26c68.96$18 inWon+$50.929844.9%44 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8975…ffe6backed No78c45.5$35 inLost-$35.374875%36 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d45…652abacked Yes50c40$20 inWon+$201040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73a4…9188backed No54c21$11 inLost-$11.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.