TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Kendrick Lamar perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,398
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,326

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,398 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x98c7…455cbacked Yes9c4,327$389 inLost-$389.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82a7…afb5backed Yes19c963$183 inLost-$182.97560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee9e…efb7backed No80c847$678 inWon+$169.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d05…305bbacked Yes19c723$137 inLost-$137.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff74…24f0backed Yes19c712$135 inLost-$135.28450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+36.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No59c569.5$333 inWon+$236.3416250.6%82 W · 80 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ac7…dc0bbacked Yes19c548$104 inLost-$104.12450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb132…6943backed Yes19c485$92 inLost-$92.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe70…e8e9backed Yes20c337$67 inLost-$67.430%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…7523backed Yes20c322$64 inLost-$64.41136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-45.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaef9…0acbbacked Yes19c282$54 inLost-$53.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x557a…9f70backed Yes19c227$43 inLost-$43.13520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-74.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8270…9ca6backed Yes22c208.11$45 inLost-$45911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-79.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3de…5339backed Yes20c188$38 inLost-$37.61233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-41.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes39c145.65$57 inLost-$57.0339116.1%63 W · 328 L-44.4wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-48.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8975…ffe6backed No67c123.62$82 inWon+$41.184875%36 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x179d…e18bbacked Yes49c91.24$45 inLost-$45742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe17…98e9backed No76c77.77$59 inWon+$18.511250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9706…2e00backed Yes57c55$31 inLost-$31.151457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79c1…497dbacked Yes57c51.73$29 inLost-$29.491233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-46%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d45…652abacked Yes54c44$24 inLost-$23.761040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked No47c30.13$14 inWon+$15.884362.8%27 W · 16 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.