TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb132…6943

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
140
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Movies, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+39.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.06
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$167.48
Will Zendaya attend the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$191.31
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$139.86
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$113
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$52.52
Will Sorry, Baby win Best Feature at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$178.16
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$95.76
Will Geeta Gandbhir - The Perfect Neighbor win Best Director of a Documentary Film at the 78th DGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+117.4%+$100.44
Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.28
Will Rose Byrne be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$164.16
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$85.89
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$85.28
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.35
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+233.3%+$25.9
Will Little Amélie or the Character of Rain be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$44.47
Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$23.13
Will Jay Kelly be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$88.06
Will Ryan Coogler be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$120.64
Will Frankenstein be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$19.36
Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$56.7
Will Paul Mescal be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+1,150%+$141.68
Will Orwell: 2+2=5 be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$110.88
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$17.93
All 24 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.66
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.29
Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.94
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$45.88
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+400%+$121.6
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$401.94
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$21.28
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$88.96
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$199.5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+150%+$395.4
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$712Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$711.9
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+81.8%+$36.45
Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$203.29
Will Israel strike 3 or more countries in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.44
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.16
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.64
IDF Chief Eyal  Zamir out by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.27
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$48.18
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$14.4
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.9
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.4
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.93
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.96
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$100.08
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$32.97
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$130.73
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$7.24
Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.46
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.6
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.28
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.28
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$89.24
Will the Phoenix Suns win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$139.16
All 17 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$373.24
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$63.64
Will Starmer say "Renewables" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$140.28
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 85-99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$174.15
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.19
Will JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+44.9%+$5.89
Will Keir Starmer say "Reform" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+354.5%+$356.46
Will turnout in the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 82% and 84%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$135
Will Cătălin Drulă get between 10% and 15% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$153.98
Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 25% and 30% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$89.5
Will Anca Alexandrescu finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+92.3%+$178.08
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.18
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.45
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.48
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.46
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$163.1
Will Artemis II launch by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$192
Will Google Gemini be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$227.59
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+73.8%+$144.33
Will diVine launch iOS app by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$105.72
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+96.1%+$108.49
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+29.9%+$33.58
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+64.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$982Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$878.29
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$231.04
Will 150 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.28
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+300%+$270
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44.8
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.08
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+488.2%+$103.75
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+53.8%+$78.05
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$53.25
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-77.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-70.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+127.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+351.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+672%+$1,171.64
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$86.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-3.5)backed Southern Illinois Salukis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$141.36
Siena Saints vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 135.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+26.3%+$47.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$88.83
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$804Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$803.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)backed Al Najmah Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$260.99
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+28.2%+$70.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Benfica advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$409.77
Will Newcastle United advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$123.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+230%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+230%+$122.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+92.7%+$17.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$405.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Myles Garrett break the NFL sack record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$54.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$135.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Medline's market cap be between $55B and $65B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$84.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$566.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$153
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.