AI · resolved market
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd98180aa78ffbba17c7fd563223fec106ca05b32319f06df1834fe51f61fa5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $317,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $436,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41ec…0b08backed Yes | 2c | 30,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 4c | 27,068$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.07 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae23…142ebacked Yes | 15c | 12,102$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.2 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 2c | 3,600$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,490$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,668$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.91 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 1,449$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,444$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91d…91fdbacked Yes | 19c | 1,373$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf49…286dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,345$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1c…db61backed Yes | 2c | 1,333$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadc…d8efbacked Yes | 23c | 1,127$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…bd71backed Yes | 18c | 1,103$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 1,048$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 175 | 4%7 W · 168 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5f…81c0backed Yes | 16c | 1,023$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.68 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed Yes | 16c | 999$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 18c | 997.64$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.27 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…8cc1backed Yes | 25c | 798$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…b4eebacked No | 78c | 790$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…115ebacked Yes | 20c | 784$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.26 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…bf74backed No | 75c | 739$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.75 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d38…2078backed Yes | 21c | 725.62$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.32 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 12c | 725.45$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.36 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a8…7efabacked Yes | 21c | 716$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.47 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.34per pick | 48cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 706.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…67ccbacked Yes | 15c | 681.2$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.75 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be7…46eebacked Yes | 19c | 677$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.63 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…f745backed No | 77c | 670$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…575abacked Yes | 2c | 666.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d48…d6f1backed No | 79c | 626$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.46 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ae…bb88backed Yes | 23c | 622$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.06 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4805backed Yes | 23c | 583$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.09 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7534…d51bbacked Yes | 18c | 582$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.76 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab78…fac0backed Yes | 28c | 558.79$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…a432backed Yes | 17c | 520$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ae…4cf1backed Yes | 11c | 500$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 53 | 1.9%1 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3896…ece6backed No | 78c | 500$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…297bbacked No | 80c | 499.89$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.94 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…aa1abacked No | 78c | 475$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…d7aabacked Yes | 22c | 475$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed Yes | 18c | 474$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…7d8abacked Yes | 18c | 459$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.62 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…f02dbacked Yes | 19c | 452$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.88 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…141abacked No | 77c | 427$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4653…65c5backed Yes | 16c | 425$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e9…858cbacked Yes | 26c | 423.97$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa5…2380backed Yes | 17c | 422$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…ffeabacked Yes | 16c | 410$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9833…0b32backed Yes | 4c | 402.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -65%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed No | 74c | 400$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c2…ca53backed Yes | 21c | 397$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…edc1backed No | 79c | 397$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9498…d950backed Yes | 16c | 392$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…ac57backed No | 78c | 366$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.52 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked No | 74c | 354$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…6beabacked Yes | 26c | 354$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb943…777dbacked Yes | 14c | 348.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…1b67backed Yes | 18c | 342$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1808…1dfcbacked Yes | 6c | 341.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f80…be79backed Yes | 6c | 340.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed0…0532backed Yes | 22c | 337$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.14 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffa1…15bdbacked No | 78c | 337$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.14 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…1700backed Yes | 18c | 329$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc00d…b3a0backed Yes | 31c | 319.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6943backed Yes | 22c | 319$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…c454backed No | 78c | 319$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.18 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.31per pick | 48cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…9a60backed Yes | 17c | 301$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfebb…79bcbacked Yes | 21c | 299.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d7…8c45backed Yes | 19c | 289$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d91…7a49backed Yes | 5c | 281.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked Yes | 22c | 251$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ac…d8c5backed No | 78c | 251$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6007…9553backed Yes | 17c | 249$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb2…590abacked Yes | 21c | 246.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…b168backed Yes | 4c | 243.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…588ebacked Yes | 17c | 236$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…c259backed No | 77c | 228.99$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…ee50backed Yes | 27c | 225.32$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2216…4accbacked Yes | 14c | 223.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…6e71backed Yes | 4c | 222.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc2…e4a1backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52f…fbfdbacked Yes | 24c | 212.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a80…729cbacked Yes | 20c | 211.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked No | 77c | 211$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 16c | 210.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfda0…6aebbacked Yes | 14c | 208.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8402…d7a0backed Yes | 17c | 205.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6349…2a82backed Yes | 12c | 199.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…0d60backed Yes | 23c | 198$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked No | 74c | 189.45$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8d…fc01backed Yes | 23c | 189$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 54c | 176$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.96 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f8…6c22backed Yes | 22c | 175$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bf…7780backed No | 79c | 163.74$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 17c | 162.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd68…cdd3backed Yes | 22c | 158$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…293cbacked No | 77c | 156$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.