TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdaee…bd71

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Movies, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 60 out of 100; worst Asian League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$176.87
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+289.1%+$422.02
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$84.15
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$15.36
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$241.92
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$295.14
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.7
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$36.54
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.38
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.95
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$63.18
Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$159.12
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.92
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$39.6
All 15 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+73%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Movies — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$600.6
Will "Jurassic World Rebirth" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.65
Will Marty Supreme make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+31.6%+$85.68
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$114.66
Will Come See Me in the Good Light be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+244.8%+$82.36
Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+300%+$406.5
Will Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey (Wicked: For Good) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+47.8%+$99.88
Will In Your Dreams be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+29.9%+$150.88
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$136.94
Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+163.2%+$461.28
Will "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$87.72
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+21.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.54
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$76.6
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$145.92
Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$352.98
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.11
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.25
Will Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$272.46
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$143.93
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+334.8%+$174.79
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$284.9
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$407.34
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.02
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$64.07
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$631Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$630.5
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$280.5
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$82.84
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$63.04
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+270.4%+$380.33
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+376.2%+$590.92
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40.56
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+52.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+181.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Infrared launch a token by March 31 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+53.8%+$76.3
Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+104.1%+$76.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$54
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$761Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$253.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "President" be said at the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+143.9%+$156.94
Will Crypto.com run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$134.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$165.06
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$61.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Igor Jesus score the most goals in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$201.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+72.4%+$172.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana and Miami win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$280.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$611Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$152.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "hell" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$92.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$402.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.