Movies · resolved market
Will In Your Dreams be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7ef7e0ba5d3895bed4159f191d328f64e7a0a171d9bfb1b8b7e9d1a0cd63469
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff74…24f0backed Yes | 28c | 1,286$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…c527backed No | 73c | 1,005$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.35 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x647e…88c8backed No | 74c | 985$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.1 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc886…696fbacked No | 73c | 960$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e35…384fbacked No | 72c | 793$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.04 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…7260backed Yes | 25c | 771$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.75 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 10c | 710.02$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.25 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…bd71backed No | 77c | 656$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +73%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06d8…4c30backed No | 75c | 647$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672b…68d2backed Yes | 27c | 606$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.39 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked Yes | 11c | 592$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked Yes | 23c | 542$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.32 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0d…1683backed Yes | 25c | 517$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked No | 77c | 494$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.62 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…b842backed No | 73c | 488$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.76 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad04…dce5backed Yes | 16c | 481$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…09adbacked Yes | 26c | 456$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…aeb8backed No | 75c | 441$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…4c23backed Yes | 11c | 426$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…b301backed Yes | 23c | 422$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…1132backed No | 70c | 414$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…09a9backed Yes | 27c | 408$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.32 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…4585backed Yes | 30c | 385$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…00acbacked No | 75c | 373$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…d7aabacked Yes | 27c | 370$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…c75abacked Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed Yes | 21c | 348$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed No | 79c | 348$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked Yes | 17c | 327.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -44%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked Yes | 25c | 326$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…ad61backed No | 70c | 325$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…1700backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…84f1backed No | 67c | 295$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked No | 77c | 284$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.32 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6578…ba32backed Yes | 23c | 284$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…44c2backed Yes | 23c | 280$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d36…06edbacked No | 67c | 280$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.87 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed Yes | 30c | 276$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…9b51backed Yes | 19c | 274$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked Yes | 27c | 263$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.01 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05d…3e96backed No | 79c | 247$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked Yes | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked No | 72c | 236$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…66fdbacked Yes | 21c | 234$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea45…e748backed Yes | 19c | 217.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…83dcbacked Yes | 23c | 214$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…96e8backed Yes | 27c | 195$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…2bcdbacked No | 71c | 184$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…0c79backed Yes | 11c | 166$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…87fbbacked Yes | 12c | 165.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9a…cc24backed No | 71c | 165$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked Yes | 26c | 160$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked Yes | 27c | 151$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…1d3fbacked Yes | 27c | 134$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…3d05backed No | 77c | 133$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 18c | 118.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 16c | 105.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 15c | 101.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e4…ef6dbacked Yes | 34c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…282abacked Yes | 29c | 90$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…40d7backed Yes | 29c | 88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…ab6abacked Yes | 30c | 79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 28c | 78.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…1c56backed Yes | 34c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d82…3d02backed Yes | 29c | 66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 71c | 62.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 30c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 266 | 41.7%111 W · 155 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c92…4744backed Yes | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f0…ae31backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 142 | 12%17 W · 125 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…5709backed Yes | 29c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 79c | 12.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.62 | 206 | 68.9%142 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will In Your Dreams be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will Arco be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will KPop Demon Hunters be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Little Amélie or the Character of Rain be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Zootopia 2 be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.