Movies · resolved market
Will Zootopia 2 be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef8fcdaff14ae0bcb677bfed5cfd245dc2cad9df6f85195893a84c49a8f35496
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc362…7f4fbacked No | 16c | 534$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.78 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2a4ebacked Yes | 74c | 458$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.08 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 8c | 454$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…5345backed No | 24c | 356$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.44 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed Yes | 74c | 314$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.64 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…e351backed No | 4c | 285.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed No | 46c | 279$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.34 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed No | 9c | 278$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed No | 26c | 267$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c0…7499backed No | 19c | 257.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…73a0backed Yes | 54c | 237$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.02 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…ba80backed No | 8c | 213$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed Yes | 76c | 206$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…758bbacked No | 26c | 179$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…1700backed Yes | 74c | 176$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…00acbacked No | 26c | 176$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a16…0c03backed No | 26c | 173$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 14c | 172.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 140 | 15%21 W · 119 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6159…7501backed No | 26c | 170$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…8010backed No | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…e1efbacked Yes | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked No | 9c | 144$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed No | 26c | 106$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc895…9bfabacked No | 14c | 99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…1132backed Yes | 74c | 88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…6f94backed Yes | 74c | 59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x454e…62b9backed Yes | 79c | 56.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Yes | 54c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zootopia 2 be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will Arco be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will In Your Dreams be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will KPop Demon Hunters be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Little Amélie or the Character of Rain be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.