TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x88c4…758b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$159.6
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.85
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$154.55
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.74
Will "Wuthering Heights" Third Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+31.6%+$102.72
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$567.22
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+257.1%+$234.72
Will "Tyler Perry's Joe's College Road Trip" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$91.6
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$99.64
Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$70.84
Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$323.17
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$136.68
Will Zootopia 2 be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$46.54
Will It Was Just an Accident be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+257.1%+$80.64
Will The Testament of Ann Lee be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$21.87
Will Jay Kelly be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$81.53
Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$63.45
Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$212.53
Will Amy Madigan be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$115.52
Will Orwell: 2+2=5 be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$24.75
Will Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$26.04
Will "Sean Combs: The Reckoning" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+136.4%+$114.82
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+27.6%+$119.02
All 23 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.4
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.28
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$82.5
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.75
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$483
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.68
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$275.52
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$78.52
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$78.21
Will "Apple Music" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+117.4%+$511.38
Will "Trump" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$515.52
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$120.33
Will diVine launch iOS app by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.26
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+26.5%+$83.62
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+61.3%+$57
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$27.93
Will Paramount acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+81.8%+$58.05
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+29.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$438.62
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.35
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$514.14
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$31.8
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$77.74
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$218.13
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$168.8
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$103.7
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$26.32
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+244.8%+$163.3
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+138.1%+$82.36
Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$80.08
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-63.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$86.08
Will Darko Rajakovic win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.64
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.77
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.37
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.34
Will the Indiana Pacers have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+132.6%+$34.2
Will CJ McCollum be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$98.1
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.16
Will there be at least 1450 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.69
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.08
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+212.5%+$201.96
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$140.84
Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$126.54
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$90.59
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+104.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$264.74
Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$23.12
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)backed Villarreal CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$106.08
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$686Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$743.6
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$220.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.88
Harmonix FDV above $25M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+56.3%+$25.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.53
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+376.2%+$214.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$159.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+35.1%+$82.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$193.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alabama make the College Football Playoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$42.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$132.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebelsbacked Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.