NBA · resolved market
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c0f5f1da849bfb4426aaa00d6f0264a2f2a7468782b493049e845c929e0996d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 14c | 2,281$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.02 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 6c | 1,794$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…aa8ebacked Yes | 58c | 1,490$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.04 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e72…7de5backed Yes | 46c | 1,454$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Yes | 60c | 1,438$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.28 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…73ddbacked No | 3c | 1,333$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…09adbacked No | 42c | 1,241$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbf…7328backed No | 54c | 1,218$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.49 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 69c | 1,135$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.08 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…8bf6backed Yes | 45c | 1,053$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa756…b167backed No | 55c | 1,046$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.3 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4653…65c5backed No | 42c | 1,023$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.66 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed Yes | 58c | 958$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.36 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…4e58backed Yes | 45c | 947$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.85 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…4c23backed No | 45c | 911$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.49 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…f02bbacked No | 44c | 894$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.36 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09be…76d5backed Yes | 57c | 871$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.53 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…1598backed No | 44c | 869$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.36 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…ebedbacked Yes | 56c | 815$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…f745backed No | 40c | 759$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe27…9623backed No | 54c | 736$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed No | 47c | 727$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.95 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…2550backed Yes | 60c | 721$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…a751backed Yes | 56c | 715$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.42 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…fb12backed No | 41c | 692$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.46per pick | 60cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked Yes | 50c | 690$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.85 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…395ebacked Yes | 45c | 678$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…1f07backed No | 47c | 677$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.45 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 18c | 674.25$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.95 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…9ae0backed No | 55c | 633$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.15 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…af26backed No | 44c | 606$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.64 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…bd71backed Yes | 58c | 576$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.92 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a7a9backed No | 46c | 576$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.44 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed No | 44c | 573$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.12 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…b461backed No | 43c | 568$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.13 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 19c | 566.84$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.31 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed Yes | 55c | 551$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.95 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…f17fbacked Yes | 60c | 543$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.2 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234a…cbffbacked Yes | 45c | 537$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.35 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 5c | 533.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f2…6a72backed Yes | 57c | 531$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…deaebacked No | 55c | 528$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1220…741abacked Yes | 58c | 519$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…00acbacked Yes | 58c | 516$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed No | 45c | 511$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.95 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 75c | 501$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.59 | 427 | 44.5%190 W · 237 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a0…b7bdbacked No | 61c | 498$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…75e7backed Yes | 56c | 496$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.24 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +68%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…88f0backed No | 44c | 479$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.76 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…6f9fbacked No | 44c | 477$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.88 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f0…669dbacked No | 40c | 475$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…24efbacked No | 55c | 465$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc02…f89cbacked Yes | 55c | 462.91$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.54 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…8954backed No | 5c | 461$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1832…af9ebacked No | 42c | 457$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.94 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed Yes | 60c | 455$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 57c | 454.36$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.34 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…32d9backed Yes | 50c | 454$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.9 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe335…cd12backed Yes | 45c | 453$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x672b…68d2backed No | 44c | 452$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.88 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…5735backed Yes | 56c | 445$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.8 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…3497backed Yes | 33c | 439$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.13 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed No | 44c | 433$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.52 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…09dcbacked Yes | 37c | 408$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.04 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked No | 56c | 405$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c2e0backed Yes | 44c | 405$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e96…c895backed Yes | 56c | 402$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.88 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 42c | 389.68$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.82 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed No | 44c | 386$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.84 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed Yes | 56c | 381$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.64 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…a617backed Yes | 56c | 378$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.32 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed No | 6c | 373.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa48a…fcd2backed No | 55c | 370$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 6c | 368.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -91.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes | 60c | 368$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked Yes | 56c | 364$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.16 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6159…7501backed No | 44c | 363$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.72 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 20c | 360.97$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.38 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc94…efd5backed Yes | 39c | 358$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 40cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…0b1ebacked No | 45c | 357$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.65 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…f15fbacked No | 40c | 354$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…bb33backed No | 45c | 346$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.7 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bb…e885backed Yes | 56c | 342$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.48 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked No | 40c | 341$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked Yes | 56c | 338$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.72 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf8…c7afbacked Yes | 56c | 337$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.28 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 50c | 335$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.65 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…5aaebacked No | 42c | 334$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.28 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…4ca3backed Yes | 45c | 325$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.75 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes | 56c | 312$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.28 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…e62fbacked No | 42c | 310$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…8238backed Yes | 58c | 310$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…e5a3backed Yes | 22c | 295$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.1 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +209.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5880…a675backed No | 58c | 293$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.83 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed Yes | 45c | 292$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.6 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…ca08backed No | 6c | 288.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed No | 44c | 285$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.07 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…1132backed No | 67c | 283$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.61 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe356…63bcbacked No | 6c | 282.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…4441backed Yes | 50c | 281$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.66 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?this page
- Will Anthony Edwards lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won
- Will Jalen Brunson lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won
- Will James Harden lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won
- Will Kevin Durant lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won
- Will LaMelo Ball lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won
- Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won
- Will Pascal Siakam lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won
- Will Tyrese Maxey lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won
- Will Zach LaVine lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.