NBA · resolved market

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa36f66745332eab9996dcfeb1351ddda34d1954146a931b4b4b26b7bb3df694c

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $100,319
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $101,034

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,319 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes	4c	4,784$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.18	95	16.8%16 W · 79 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes	20c	2,616$536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536.03	774	37.5%290 W · 484 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	9c	1,697$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.6	221	40.3%89 W · 132 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c76…6874backed Yes	2c	1,666$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.66	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75ed…068ebacked Yes	1c	1,657$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes	9c	1,174$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.08	99	39.4%39 W · 60 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7321…1812backed Yes	26c	1,124$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.24	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8737…2bffbacked Yes	26c	1,032$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.32	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2604…13ccbacked Yes	26c	1,014$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.02	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36b0…f5bebacked No	74c	989$732 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.14	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes	7c	966.12$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.88	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c5…4c23backed No	76c	834$634 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.16	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa151…13b4backed No	75c	814$611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.5	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c07…0cbcbacked No	74c	781$578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.06	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19cd…f7ffbacked Yes	24c	770$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.8	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ceb…7fc8backed No	74c	769$569 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.94	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d38…e898backed Yes	25c	765.1$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.29	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e55…59d2backed No	75c	748$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.43	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+20%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaa…b550backed Yes	26c	736$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.36	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.6wins	-0.29per pick	51cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x39be…5e7bbacked Yes	26c	727$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.02	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7546…2d93backed No	76c	701$533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.24	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc04c…44ffbacked No	76c	694$527 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.56	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb547…a237backed No	73c	682$496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.83	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+3.2wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x086a…1435backed Yes	22c	670.19$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.58	63	19%12 W · 51 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…f9d4backed Yes	28c	658$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.28	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+49.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa756…b167backed No	74c	619$458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.94	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8151…3421backed Yes	27c	611$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.97	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a94…7154backed No	74c	595$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.7	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a8…1f07backed Yes	25c	581$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.25	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b74…93f7backed Yes	26c	559$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.34	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc94…efd5backed No	74c	538$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.88	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+2.2wins	+0.32per pick	40cpaid	+46.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ea1…6487backed No	73c	534$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.18	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb85b…77dbbacked Yes	27c	502$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.7	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-4.1wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa05d…3e96backed No	74c	501$372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.51	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-4.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f0…669dbacked Yes	27c	501$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.14	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ed7…767ebacked Yes	22c	500$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.39	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.13per pick	31cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes	8c	473.1$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.56	260	34.6%90 W · 170 L	-20.6wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2971…b901backed No	74c	472$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.72	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5518…1211backed No	78c	444$346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.68	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f68…2238backed Yes	24c	442$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.08	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	58cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1617…ec98backed No	73c	438$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.26	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff2d…caf4backed Yes	24c	437$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.88	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa647…d77dbacked Yes	26c	432$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.32	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2bb…4569backed Yes	26c	427$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.02	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf977…aff0backed Yes	26c	423$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.98	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.17per pick	38cpaid	+143.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x02a5…c0edbacked Yes	22c	419$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.18	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+17%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1220…741abacked No	76c	414$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.36	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89b2…0eb2backed No	74c	406$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.56	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04d4…be7cbacked Yes	26c	402$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.52	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Yes	24c	384$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.16	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+62.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe136…cacebacked No	76c	384$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.16	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	41cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0c0…c4c9backed Yes	21c	375$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.75	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba3d…cdfabacked No	74c	371$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.46	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f58…e29abacked No	73c	369$269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.63	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…7523backed Yes	26c	364$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.64	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0494…631fbacked Yes	8c	357.1$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.41	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f46…01b1backed Yes	21c	350$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.5	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6163…58ccbacked Yes	30c	349.9$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.97	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-28%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93d1…a451backed Yes	25c	344$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4346…2241backed Yes	24c	344$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.56	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82aa…2393backed Yes	24c	342$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.08	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+3.4wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+117%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f68…21ecbacked No	76c	342$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.08	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6478…49f3backed No	74c	337$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.62	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6cb…ac3dbacked No	73c	336$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.47	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+3.6wins	+0.26per pick	46cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x605c…83dcbacked Yes	24c	333$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.92	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x722f…f17fbacked No	74c	327$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.02	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd134…5558backed Yes	26c	318$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.68	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-14%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6558…e485backed No	76c	309$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.16	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes	5c	303.13$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.24	80	20%16 W · 64 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x365f…d215backed No	74c	302$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.52	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+2.1wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc02…f89cbacked Yes	25c	300.01$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.06	139	47.5%66 W · 73 L	-11.2wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa938…a1ffbacked No	79c	300$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3f0…f05fbacked Yes	24c	299$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.76	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.19per pick	59cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd907…f15fbacked No	74c	298$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.48	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…a320backed No	74c	294$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.44	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d8…9f12backed No	75c	293$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.25	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe53d…8ab8backed Yes	25c	293$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.25	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42b…7577backed No	74c	291$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.66	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	22c	290.39$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.33	401	33.4%134 W · 267 L	+27.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2abd…74ebbacked Yes	25c	284$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-3.3wins	-0.13per pick	41cpaid	-36%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	23c	273.81$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.36	1,132	17%192 W · 940 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12c2…aa71backed No	74c	264$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.64	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+4.0wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	+48.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d91…89d8backed No	74c	262$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.12	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-29%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b32…c8a9backed No	68c	261$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.52	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x79c1…497dbacked No	77c	258.07$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.36	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	9c	257.84$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.14	150	10%15 W · 135 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeec5…b6febacked Yes	28c	253.07$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.33	88	56.8%50 W · 38 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3214…f00ebacked No	74c	239$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.14	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbec…8dccbacked Yes	26c	239$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.14	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+66.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x293b…09a9backed Yes	27c	232$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.64	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…f285backed No	70c	230$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes	26c	229$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.54	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8959…50f8backed Yes	25c	228$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8acf…2f7bbacked No	72c	227$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.56	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+2.5wins	+0.15per pick	44cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x34fc…d14dbacked No	74c	224$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.24	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes	50c	218.3$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.58	60	40%24 W · 36 L	-5.7wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-34%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7534…d51bbacked Yes	28c	215$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.2	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6499…05d2backed Yes	24c	211$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.64	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-3.3wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf666…8842backed Yes	26c	204$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.04	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3de…5339backed No	79c	203$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.63	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-3.6wins	-0.20per pick	48cpaid	-62.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?this page
Will Anthony Edwards lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won
Will Jalen Brunson lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won
Will James Harden lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won
Will Kevin Durant lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won
Will LaMelo Ball lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?Yes won
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won
Will Pascal Siakam lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won
Will Tyrese Maxey lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won
Will Zach LaVine lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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